Uzbekistan Super League, round 28 · Friday, 20 November, (UTC+3)
Lokomotiv Tashkent — Pakhtakor Tashkent
☆ Save matchModel prediction for 20 November
Preliminary forecast: the match is more than a week away. Closer to it the model takes in fresh form, injuries and line-ups, and the numbers may move.
In short
Pakhtakor Tashkent are slightly stronger: 40% against 31%, draw 29%.
2.9 goals expected in total — close to the competition average (2.6).
Over 2.5 goals — 57%, both teams to score — 62%.
Why
- By the strength ratings Pakhtakor Tashkent are about 0.2 goals per match stronger.
Facts
- League table: Lokomotiv Tashkent — No. 7, 40 pts; Pakhtakor Tashkent — No. 2, 56 pts. A gap of 16 pts.
Probabilities
| Expected goals: Lokomotiv Tashkent — Pakhtakor Tashkent What is xG? | 1.3–1.6 | |
| Lokomotiv Tashkent not to lose | 60% | |
| Pakhtakor Tashkent not to lose | 69% | |
| No draw | 71% | |
| Both teams to score: yes | 62% | |
| Both teams to score: no | 38% | |
| Total over 2.5 | 57% | |
| Total under 2.5 | 43% |
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All totals and handicaps, team totals, corners and cards, the score grid, every factor and how the estimate moved before kick-off.
- All totals
- Handicap Lokomotiv Tashkent
- Lokomotiv Tashkent goals
- Pakhtakor Tashkent goals
- Corners and cards
- Full score grid
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Team news
Form
- 01.11AGMK1:2
- 25.10away · Qizilqum Zarafshon1:1
- 17.10Nasaf Qarshi0:0
- 11.10away · Sogdiana3:2
- 20.09Neftchi Fargona0:1
- 30.10away · Xorazm1:0
- 23.10Neftchi Fargona1:3
- 17.10away · Navbahor Namangan1:1
- 09.10Bunyodkor Tashkent3:1
- 19.09away · Mashal Muborak2:1
Head to head
- 17.07.2026Pakhtakor Tashkent — Lokomotiv Tashkent1:1
Table
| # | Team | P | W | +/− | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Neftchi Fargona | 25 | 18 | +37 | 58 |
| 2 | Pakhtakor Tashkent | 26 | 16 | +20 | 56 |
| 3 | Navbahor Namangan | 26 | 15 | +20 | 52 |
| 6 | Buxoro | 26 | 12 | +5 | 42 |
| 7 | Lokomotiv Tashkent | 26 | 11 | +8 | 40 |
| 8 | Qizilqum Zarafshon | 26 | 10 | -6 | 35 |
Uzbekistan Super League on the same day
- Navbahor NamanganNeftchi Fargonapreliminary3028422The model's most likely outcome: 2Model's score: 0:23.3
- AGMKQizilqum Zarafshonpreliminary4829221The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 1:02.5
This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 40% will not happen in roughly 60 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →