Uzbekistan Super League, round 28 · Friday, 20 November, (UTC+3)
Navbahor Namangan — Neftchi Fargona
☆ Save matchModel prediction for 20 November
Preliminary forecast: the match is more than a week away. Closer to it the model takes in fresh form, injuries and line-ups, and the numbers may move.
In short
Neftchi Fargona are slightly stronger: 42% against 30%, draw 28%.
The model expects plenty of goals: 3.3 in total, against a competition average of 2.6.
Over 2.5 goals — 64%, both teams to score — 68%.
Why
- By the strength ratings Neftchi Fargona are about 0.2 goals per match stronger.
Facts
- League table: Navbahor Namangan — No. 3, 52 pts; Neftchi Fargona — No. 1, 58 pts. A gap of 6 pts.
- Navbahor Namangan: unbeaten in 5; Neftchi Fargona: unbeaten in 5.
Probabilities
| Expected goals: Navbahor Namangan — Neftchi Fargona What is xG? | 1.5–1.8 | |
| Navbahor Namangan not to lose | 58% | |
| Neftchi Fargona not to lose | 70% | |
| No draw | 72% | |
| Both teams to score: yes | 68% | |
| Both teams to score: no | 32% | |
| Total over 2.5 | 64% | |
| Total under 2.5 | 36% |
91 more model lines in Premium
All totals and handicaps, team totals, corners and cards, the score grid, every factor and how the estimate moved before kick-off.
- All totals
- Handicap Navbahor Namangan
- Navbahor Namangan goals
- Neftchi Fargona goals
- Corners and cards
- Full score grid
Get Premiumfrom $5.99 a month
Team news
Form
- 31.10Andijon1:0
- 26.10away · Xorazm2:1
- 17.10Pakhtakor Tashkent1:1
- 11.10away · AGMK2:2
- 17.09Dinamo Samarkand3:2
- 23.10away · Pakhtakor Tashkent3:1
- 16.10away · Kokand 19124:2
- 07.10Xorazm2:2
- 20.09away · Lokomotiv Tashkent1:0
- 09.09Surkhon-20112:1
Head to head
- 28.07.2026Neftchi Fargona — Navbahor Namangan1:1
Table
| # | Team | P | W | +/− | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Neftchi Fargona | 25 | 18 | +37 | 58 |
| 2 | Pakhtakor Tashkent | 26 | 16 | +20 | 56 |
| 3 | Navbahor Namangan | 26 | 15 | +20 | 52 |
| 4 | AGMK | 26 | 13 | +5 | 45 |
Uzbekistan Super League on the same day
- Lokomotiv TashkentPakhtakor Tashkentpreliminary3129402The model's most likely outcome: 2Model's score: 0:22.9
- AGMKQizilqum Zarafshonpreliminary4829221The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 1:02.5
This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 42% will not happen in roughly 58 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →