Peruvian Liga 1 · Sunday, 8 November, (UTC+3)
Los Chankas — Alianza Lima
☆ Save matchModel prediction for 8 November
In short
Alianza Lima are clear favourites: 61% against 15% for the opponent, draw 24%.
2.6 goals expected in total — close to the competition average (2.8).
Over 2.5 goals — 51%, both teams to score — 50%.
Why
- By the strength ratings Alianza Lima are about 0.7 goals per match stronger.
- Alianza Lima are 158 points higher on Elo.
Facts
- Last 5 meetings: Los Chankas 0 wins, Alianza Lima 5.
- Days of rest before the match: Los Chankas 7, Alianza Lima 4.
Probabilities
| Expected goals: Los Chankas — Alianza Lima What is xG? | 0.9–1.8 | |
| Los Chankas not to lose | 39% | |
| Alianza Lima not to lose | 85% | |
| No draw | 76% | |
| Both teams to score: yes | 50% | |
| Both teams to score: no | 50% | |
| Total over 2.5 | 51% | |
| Total under 2.5 | 49% |
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- All totals
- Handicap Los Chankas
- Los Chankas goals
- Alianza Lima goals
- Corners and cards
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Team news
The teams in their last matches
| Stat | Los Chankas | Alianza Lima |
|---|---|---|
| Goals scored per match | 0.8 | 1.4 |
| Goals conceded per match | 2.1 | 1.0 |
| xG per match | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| Opponents’ xG | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| Shots | 11.0 | 18.3 |
| On target | 3.0 | 5.2 |
| Corners | 3.4 | 6.3 |
| Cards | 2.7 | 2.0 |
| Possession, % | 46 | 56 |
Form
- 01.11away · Deportivo Moquegua0:0
- 29.10Cusco FC0:1
- 26.10away · Deportivo Garcilaso1:4
- 16.10Asociación Deportiva Tarma2:1
- 08.10away · Atlético Grau0:0
- 04.11Cienciano1:0
- 29.10away · Sporting Cristal2:3
- 25.10away · Deportivo Moquegua1:0
- 18.10Atlético Grau3:1
- 12.10away · Cusco FC2:1
Head to head
- 24.05.2026Alianza Lima — Los Chankas3:0
- 05.11.2025Los Chankas — Alianza Lima1:2
- 19.04.2025Alianza Lima — Los Chankas1:0
- 24.08.2024Los Chankas — Alianza Lima0:1
- 29.03.2024Alianza Lima — Los Chankas3:0
Peruvian Liga 1 on the same day
- 771581The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 2:13.2
- 4924271The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 2:13.1
- 6222161The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 1:02.8
This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 61% will not happen in roughly 39 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →