Peruvian Liga 1 · Sunday, 8 November, (UTC+3)
Sport Boys — UTC Cajamarca
☆ Save matchModel prediction for 8 November
In short
Sport Boys are clear favourites: 62% against 16% for the opponent, draw 22%.
2.8 goals expected in total — close to the competition average (2.8).
Over 2.5 goals — 53%, both teams to score — 50%.
Why
- By the strength ratings Sport Boys are about 0.7 goals per match stronger.
- Sport Boys are 273 points higher on Elo.
Facts
- Last 5 meetings: Sport Boys 1 win, UTC Cajamarca 0, 4 draws.
Probabilities
| Expected goals: Sport Boys — UTC Cajamarca What is xG? | 1.9–0.9 | |
| Sport Boys not to lose | 84% | |
| UTC Cajamarca not to lose | 38% | |
| No draw | 78% | |
| Both teams to score: yes | 50% | |
| Both teams to score: no | 50% | |
| Total over 2.5 | 53% | |
| Total under 2.5 | 47% |
183 more model lines in Premium
All totals and handicaps, team totals, corners and cards, the score grid, every factor and how the estimate moved before kick-off.
- All totals
- Handicap Sport Boys
- Sport Boys goals
- UTC Cajamarca goals
- Corners and cards
- Full score grid
Get Premiumfrom $5.99 a month
Team news
The teams in their last matches
| Stat | Sport Boys | UTC Cajamarca |
|---|---|---|
| Goals scored per match | 1.6 | 1.4 |
| Goals conceded per match | 1.2 | 2.3 |
| xG per match | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| Opponents’ xG | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| Shots | 13.5 | 13.4 |
| On target | 4.3 | 5.0 |
| Corners | 5.1 | 3.6 |
| Cards | 3.6 | 3.4 |
| Possession, % | 51 | 48 |
Form
- 01.11away · Cusco FC1:0
- 25.10FC Cajamarca4:2
- 17.10away · ADC Juan Pablo II0:2
- 11.10Alianza Atlético1:3
- 20.09away · Melgar1:1
- 02.11Deportivo Garcilaso2:3
- 28.10away · FC Cajamarca3:1
- 23.10Melgar1:2
- 19.10away · Cienciano0:1
- 11.10Sporting Cristal0:1
Head to head
- 23.05.2026UTC Cajamarca — Sport Boys0:0
- 03.11.2025Sport Boys — UTC Cajamarca2:2
- 28.06.2025UTC Cajamarca — Sport Boys1:1
- 27.10.2024Sport Boys — UTC Cajamarca1:1
- 20.05.2024UTC Cajamarca — Sport Boys2:4
Peruvian Liga 1 on the same day
- 771581The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 2:13.2
- 4924271The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 2:13.1
- 1524612The model's most likely outcome: 2Model's score: 1:22.6
This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 62% will not happen in roughly 38 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →