PremiumTelegram
EN
Sections

Accounts and Premium are not available in your country; every forecast is open. New forecasts every day — in our Telegram channel.

Ligue 1, round 9 · Sunday, 1 November, (UTC+3) · Groupama Stadium

Lyon — Angers

☆ Save match

Model prediction and result

2:0Came true
Lyon68%
Draw20%
Angers12%
Model estimate at (UTC+3), the last one before kick-off

In short

Final score 2:0: the model's most likely outcome, Lyon to win (68%), came true.

Lyon are clear favourites: 68% against 12% for the opponent, draw 20%.

2.8 goals expected in total — close to the competition average (2.9).

Over 2.5 goals — 54%, both teams to score — 50%.

Why

  • By the strength ratings Lyon are about 1.1 goals per match stronger.
  • Lyon are 291 points higher on Elo.

Facts

  • Last 5 meetings: Lyon 4 wins, Angers 0, 1 draw.

Probabilities

Expected goals: Lyon — Angers What is xG?2.0–0.8
Lyon not to lose88%
Angers not to lose32%
No draw80%
Both teams to score: yes50%
Both teams to score: no50%
Total over 2.554%
Total under 2.546%

183 more model lines in Premium

All totals and handicaps, team totals, corners and cards, the score grid, every factor and how the estimate moved before kick-off.

  • All totals
  • Handicap Lyon
  • Lyon goals
  • Angers goals
  • Corners and cards
  • Full score grid
Get Premiumfrom $5.99 a month

Match events

  1. 38′Ernest Nuamah · Lyon1:0
  2. 86′Corentin Tolisso · Lyon2:0
  3. 88′Jordan Lefort · Angers
Substitutions (9)
  1. 63′Kaïl Boudache ↔ Julien Duranville · Lyon
  2. 69′Harouna Djibirin ↔ Haris Belkebla · Angers
  3. 69′Usman Simbakoli ↔ Prosper Peter · Angers
  4. 75′Noah Nartey ↔ Mads Bidstrup · Lyon
  5. 75′Khalis Merah ↔ Ernest Nuamah · Lyon
  6. 84′Louis Mouton ↔ Branco van den Boomen · Angers
  7. 84′Jim Allevinah ↔ Lilian Rao-Lisoa · Angers
  8. 84′Anthony Bermont ↔ Amine Sbaï · Angers
  9. 88′Nicolás Tagliafico ↔ Corentin Tolisso · Lyon

Match statistics

LyonAngers
  • 2.10Expected goals (xG)0.38
  • 64Possession, %36
  • 21Shots8
  • 5On target2
  • 4Big chances1
  • 4Corners3
  • 16Fouls6
  • 1Offsides1
  • 0Yellow cards1
  • 0Red cards0

Lineups

Minutes — how long the player played, if under 90; on the right — the player’s match rating.

Lyon

  1. GKDominik Greif7.2
  2. DFZachary Athekame7.9
  3. DFFelix Bacher7.8
  4. DFMoussa Niakhaté7.8
  5. DFAbner6.8
  6. MFMads Bidstrup75′7.3
  7. MFCorentin Tolisso (C)88′8.9
  8. MFTanner Tessmann7.9
  9. FWErnest Nuamah75′8.2
  10. FWKeito Nakamura7.9
  11. FWJulien Duranville63′7.0
Came on (4)
  1. MFKhalis Merah15′6.4
  2. FWKaïl Boudache27′6.4
  3. MFNoah Nartey15′6.3
  4. DFNicolás Tagliafico2′

Angers

  1. GKAnthony Lopes6.3
  2. DFCarlens Arcus6.1
  3. DFOusmane Camara6.1
  4. DFJordan Lefort6.2
  5. DFJoseph Kalulu6.7
  6. DFLilian Rao-Lisoa84′6.8
  7. MFYassin Belkhdim6.2
  8. MFBranco van den Boomen84′6.4
  9. MFHaris Belkebla (C)69′6.5
  10. FWAmine Sbaï84′6.1
  11. FWProsper Peter69′6.5
Came on (5)
  1. FWJim Allevinah6′
  2. FWHarouna Djibirin21′6.0
  3. FWUsman Simbakoli21′6.0
  4. MFAnthony Bermont6′
  5. MFLouis Mouton6′

Form

Lyon

  • 26.10away · Paris Saint-Germain0:2
  • 22.10away · Hoffenheim0:3
  • 18.10Nice2:1
  • 15.10Crystal Palace3:2
  • 09.10away · Lens1:2

Angers

  • 25.10Lorient0:0
  • 18.10Marseille2:5
  • 10.10away · Brest1:5
  • 19.09Troyes2:0
  • 12.09away · Le Havre0:0

Head to head

  • 05.04.2026Angers — Lyon0:0
  • 19.09.2025Lyon — Angers1:0
  • 17.05.2025Lyon — Angers2:0
  • 07.12.2024Angers — Lyon0:3
  • 25.02.2023Angers — Lyon1:3

Full record: 18 meetings →

Table

Table «Overall», season 2026/27
#TeamPWDLGoals+/−Pts
2, Champions LeagueLille953112–6+618
3, Champions LeagueLyon952215–7+817
4, Champions League qualifyingParis FC952216–10+617
14Auxerre931513–23-1010
15Angers92259–17-88
16, Relegation play-offTroyes92257–16-98

Season 2026/27

Full table

Next matches

  • Real SociedadLyon5 November · Europa League
    1The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 2:12.9
  • AngersNice8 November · Ligue 1
    2The model's most likely outcome: 2Model's score: 0:22.8

Ligue 1 on the same day

  • StrasbourgAuxerre
    1The most likely outcome came true: 1Final score 5:1. Model's score: 1:0.2.8
  • Paris FCMonaco
    2The most likely outcome did not happen: 2Final score 3:1. Model's score: 1:2.2.9
  • MarseilleToulouse
    1The most likely outcome came true: 1Final score 2:0. Model's score: 2:1.3.1

This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 68% will not happen in roughly 32 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →