Copa del Rey, round 1 · Tuesday, 10 November, (UTC+3) · Estadio Municipal Francisco Muñoz Pérez
Mijas-Las Lagunas — Real Jaén
☆ Save matchModel prediction for 10 November
In short
Evenly matched: Mijas-Las Lagunas 37%, Real Jaén 36%, draw 27%.
The model expects few goals: 2.7 in total, against a competition average of 3.1.
Over 2.5 goals — 52%, both teams to score — 56%.
Why
- By the strength ratings the teams are almost level.
- Mijas-Las Lagunas are 55 points higher on Elo.
Probabilities
| Expected goals: Mijas-Las Lagunas — Real Jaén What is xG? | 1.4–1.4 | |
| Mijas-Las Lagunas not to lose | 64% | |
| Real Jaén not to lose | 63% | |
| No draw | 73% | |
| Both teams to score: yes | 56% | |
| Both teams to score: no | 44% | |
| Total over 2.5 | 52% | |
| Total under 2.5 | 48% |
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Team news
Form
No past matches in the data yet.
Head to head
No previous meetings in the data.
Copa del Rey on the same day
- 2124562The model's most likely outcome: 2Model's score: 1:22.9
- 512832The model's most likely outcome: 2Model's score: 0:43.6
This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 37% will not happen in roughly 63 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →