Copa del Rey, round 1 · Tuesday, 10 November, (UTC+3) · Estadio Ontime Butarque
Trival Valderas — Leganés
☆ Save matchModel prediction for 10 November
In short
Leganés are clear favourites: 56% against 21% for the opponent, draw 24%.
2.9 goals expected in total — close to the competition average (3.1).
Over 2.5 goals — 55%, both teams to score — 55%.
Why
- By the strength ratings Leganés are about 0.5 goals per match stronger.
- Leganés are 116 points higher on Elo.
Facts
- Leganés: winless in 5.
Probabilities
| Expected goals: Trival Valderas — Leganés What is xG? | 1.0–1.8 | |
| Trival Valderas not to lose | 44% | |
| Leganés not to lose | 79% | |
| No draw | 76% | |
| Both teams to score: yes | 55% | |
| Both teams to score: no | 45% | |
| Total over 2.5 | 55% | |
| Total under 2.5 | 46% |
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- Handicap Trival Valderas
- Trival Valderas goals
- Leganés goals
- Corners and cards
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Team news
Form
No past matches in the data yet.
- 02.11away · Real Valladolid3:4
- 24.10Mallorca1:1
- 16.10Córdoba0:1
- 11.10away · Almería0:3
- 03.10away · Cádiz0:4
Head to head
No previous meetings in the data.
Copa del Rey on the same day
- 3727361The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 1:02.8
- 512832The model's most likely outcome: 2Model's score: 0:43.6
This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 56% will not happen in roughly 44 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →