Copa del Rey, round 1 · Tuesday, 10 November, (UTC+3) · Estadio de Mestalla
Tavernes de la Valldigna — Valencia
☆ Save matchModel prediction for 10 November
In short
Valencia are clear favourites: 83% against 5% for the opponent, draw 12%.
The model expects plenty of goals: 3.6 in total, against a competition average of 3.1.
Over 2.5 goals — 69%, both teams to score — 45%.
Why
- By the strength ratings Valencia are about 1.1 goals per match stronger.
- Valencia are 414 points higher on Elo.
Probabilities
| Expected goals: Tavernes de la Valldigna — Valencia What is xG? | 0.6–2.9 | |
| Tavernes de la Valldigna not to lose | 17% | |
| Valencia not to lose | 95% | |
| No draw | 88% | |
| Both teams to score: yes | 45% | |
| Both teams to score: no | 55% | |
| Total over 2.5 | 69% | |
| Total under 2.5 | 31% |
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Team news
Form
No past matches in the data yet.
- 01.11away · Elche1:0
- 24.10Villarreal1:2
- 17.10Athletic Club0:0
- 11.10away · Racing Santander2:2
- 20.09Real Sociedad2:3
Head to head
No previous meetings in the data.
Copa del Rey on the same day
- 3727361The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 1:02.8
- 2124562The model's most likely outcome: 2Model's score: 1:22.9
This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 83% will not happen in roughly 17 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →