Portuguese Primeira Liga, round 11 · Saturday, 7 November, (UTC+3)
Nacional — Académico Viseu
☆ Save matchModel prediction for 7 November
In short
Académico Viseu are slightly stronger: 43% against 29%, draw 28%.
2.7 goals expected in total — close to the competition average (2.7).
Over 2.5 goals — 49%, both teams to score — 56%.
Why
- By the strength ratings the teams are almost level.
- Académico Viseu are 103 points higher on Elo.
Facts
- League table: Nacional — No. 15, 7 pts; Académico Viseu — No. 6, 20 pts. A gap of 13 pts.
Probabilities
| Expected goals: Nacional — Académico Viseu What is xG? | 1.2–1.4 | |
| Nacional not to lose | 57% | |
| Académico Viseu not to lose | 71% | |
| No draw | 72% | |
| Both teams to score: yes | 56% | |
| Both teams to score: no | 44% | |
| Total over 2.5 | 49% | |
| Total under 2.5 | 51% |
183 more model lines in Premium
All totals and handicaps, team totals, corners and cards, the score grid, every factor and how the estimate moved before kick-off.
- All totals
- Handicap Nacional
- Nacional goals
- Académico Viseu goals
- Corners and cards
- Full score grid
Get Premiumfrom $5.99 a month
Team news
The teams in their last matches
| Stat | Nacional | Académico Viseu |
|---|---|---|
| Goals scored per match | 1.0 | 1.5 |
| Goals conceded per match | 1.9 | 1.2 |
| xG per match | 1.05 | 1.13 |
| Opponents’ xG | 1.73 | 1.70 |
| Shots | 10.1 | 10.0 |
| On target | 3.0 | 3.5 |
| Corners | 4.1 | 2.6 |
| Cards | 1.4 | 2.8 |
| Possession, % | 47 | 45 |
Form
- 01.11away · Arouca0:1
- 25.10Braga1:0
- 17.10away · Sanjoanense0:1
- 11.10away · Rio Ave2:3
- 19.09Famalicão0:4
- 01.11Rio Ave2:1
- 25.10away · Sporting CP2:1
- 18.10away · Fátima0:1
- 10.10Estoril2:1
- 20.09away · Estrela da Amadora2:0
Head to head
No previous meetings in the data.
Table
| # | Team | P | W | +/− | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5, Europa League or Conference League | Arouca | 10 | 6 | +6 | 20 |
| 6 | Académico Viseu | 10 | 6 | +3 | 20 |
| 7 | Gil Vicente | 10 | 4 | +1 | 15 |
| 14 | Marítimo | 10 | 2 | -12 | 8 |
| 15 | Nacional | 10 | 2 | -9 | 7 |
| 16, Relegation play-off | Rio Ave | 10 | 2 | -14 | 7 |
Primeira Liga on the same day
- 5427191The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 2:12.7
- 851141The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 2:13.2
This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 43% will not happen in roughly 57 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →