Belarusian Premier League · Sunday, 8 November, (UTC+3)
Neman — Dnepr Mogilev
☆ Save matchModel prediction for 8 November
In short
Neman are clear favourites: 59% against 19% for the opponent, draw 22%.
2.5 goals expected in total — close to the competition average (2.5).
Over 2.5 goals — 47%, both teams to score — 45%.
Why
- By the strength ratings Neman are about 1.2 goals per match stronger.
- Neman are 305 points higher on Elo.
Facts
- League table: Neman — No. 5, 46 pts; Dnepr Mogilev — No. 14, 23 pts. A gap of 23 pts.
- Last 5 meetings: Neman 4 wins, Dnepr Mogilev 1.
Probabilities
| Expected goals: Neman — Dnepr Mogilev What is xG? | 1.7–0.8 | |
| Neman not to lose | 81% | |
| Dnepr Mogilev not to lose | 41% | |
| No draw | 78% | |
| Both teams to score: yes | 45% | |
| Both teams to score: no | 55% | |
| Total over 2.5 | 47% | |
| Total under 2.5 | 53% |
183 more model lines in Premium
All totals and handicaps, team totals, corners and cards, the score grid, every factor and how the estimate moved before kick-off.
- All totals
- Handicap Neman
- Neman goals
- Dnepr Mogilev goals
- Corners and cards
- Full score grid
Get Premiumfrom $5.99 a month
Team news
The teams in their last matches
| Stat | Neman | Dnepr Mogilev |
|---|---|---|
| Goals scored per match | 1.5 | 1.1 |
| Goals conceded per match | 0.8 | 1.3 |
| xG per match | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| Opponents’ xG | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| Shots | 11.9 | 11.7 |
| On target | 4.3 | 4.8 |
| Corners | 5.1 | 5.2 |
| Cards | 1.9 | 1.8 |
| Possession, % | 52 | 47 |
Form
- 01.11away · Din. Minsk1:0
- 25.10Dynamo Brest1:4
- 18.10away · ML Vitebsk0:1
- 14.10away · BATE2:0
- 10.10Baranovici3:0
- 31.10FC Gomel2:1
- 25.10away · Arsenal Dzerzhinsk0:0
- 18.10BATE2:1
- 11.10Din. Minsk2:3
- 20.09away · Dynamo Brest2:4
Head to head
- 28.06.2026Dnepr Mogilev — Neman2:0
- 25.08.2024Neman — Dnepr Mogilev3:1
- 13.04.2024Dnepr Mogilev — Neman0:2
- 20.10.2022Neman — Dnepr Mogilev2:0
- 18.06.2022Dnepr Mogilev — Neman1:3
Table
| # | Team | P | W | +/− | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | Dynamo Brest | 27 | 15 | +21 | 50 |
| 5 | Neman | 27 | 14 | +8 | 46 |
| 6 | FC Gomel | 27 | 11 | +9 | 40 |
| 13 | Belshina | 27 | 6 | -22 | 24 |
| 14, Relegation play-off | Dnepr Mogilev | 27 | 4 | -15 | 23 |
| 15, Relegation | BATE | 27 | 4 | -15 | 21 |
Belarusian Premier League on the same day
- 5325221The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 2:02.7
- 2325522The model's most likely outcome: 2Model's score: 0:12.8
This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 59% will not happen in roughly 41 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →