Slavia Mozyr — Baranovici
☆ Save matchModel prediction for 8 November
In short
Slavia Mozyr are clear favourites: 53% against 22% for the opponent, draw 25%.
2.7 goals expected in total — close to the competition average (2.5).
Over 2.5 goals — 49%, both teams to score — 53%.
Why
- By the strength ratings Slavia Mozyr are about 0.3 goals per match stronger.
- Slavia Mozyr are 115 points higher on Elo.
Facts
- League table: Slavia Mozyr — No. 10, 31 pts; Baranovici — No. 11, 31 pts.
Probabilities
| Expected goals: Slavia Mozyr — Baranovici What is xG? | 1.7–1.0 | |
| Slavia Mozyr not to lose | 78% | |
| Baranovici not to lose | 47% | |
| No draw | 75% | |
| Both teams to score: yes | 53% | |
| Both teams to score: no | 47% | |
| Total over 2.5 | 49% | |
| Total under 2.5 | 51% |
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All totals and handicaps, team totals, corners and cards, the score grid, every factor and how the estimate moved before kick-off.
- All totals
- Handicap Slavia Mozyr
- Slavia Mozyr goals
- Baranovici goals
- Corners and cards
- Full score grid
Team news
The teams in their last matches
| Stat | Slavia Mozyr | Baranovici |
|---|---|---|
| Goals scored per match | 1.4 | 1.0 |
| Goals conceded per match | 1.5 | 1.1 |
| xG per match | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| Opponents’ xG | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| Shots | 10.9 | 10.3 |
| On target | 4.0 | 4.6 |
| Corners | 4.6 | 5.6 |
| Cards | 2.1 | 1.4 |
| Possession, % | 49 | 47 |
Form
- 01.11away · Isloch1:3
- 25.10Zhodino4:2
- 19.10away · Belshina4:2
- 15.10away · Din. Minsk1:3
- 10.10away · BATE1:2
Head to head
- 26.06.2026Baranovici — Slavia Mozyr1:1
Table
| # | Team | P | W | +/− | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | FC Minsk | 27 | 10 | -7 | 34 |
| 10 | Slavia Mozyr | 27 | 8 | -4 | 31 |
| 11 | Baranovici | 27 | 8 | -13 | 31 |
| 12 | Arsenal Dzerzhinsk | 27 | 6 | -19 | 27 |
Belarusian Premier League on the same day
- 5922191The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 2:12.5
- 2325522The model's most likely outcome: 2Model's score: 0:12.8
This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 53% will not happen in roughly 47 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →