A-League Men (Australia), round 4 · Saturday, 7 November, (UTC+3)
Perth Glory — Newcastle Jets
☆ Save matchModel prediction for 7 November
In short
Evenly matched: Perth Glory 36%, Newcastle Jets 36%, draw 28%.
The model expects plenty of goals: 3.4 in total, against a competition average of 2.8.
Over 2.5 goals — 64%, both teams to score — 69%.
Why
- By the strength ratings the teams are almost level.
Facts
- League table: Perth Glory — No. 8, 3 pts; Newcastle Jets — No. 11, 2 pts. A gap of 1 pt.
- Newcastle Jets: winless in 5.
- Last 5 meetings: Perth Glory 1 win, Newcastle Jets 2, 2 draws.
Probabilities
| Expected goals: Perth Glory — Newcastle Jets What is xG? | 1.7–1.7 | |
| Perth Glory not to lose | 64% | |
| Newcastle Jets not to lose | 64% | |
| No draw | 72% | |
| Both teams to score: yes | 69% | |
| Both teams to score: no | 31% | |
| Total over 2.5 | 64% | |
| Total under 2.5 | 36% |
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All totals and handicaps, team totals, corners and cards, the score grid, every factor and how the estimate moved before kick-off.
- All totals
- Handicap Perth Glory
- Perth Glory goals
- Newcastle Jets goals
- Corners and cards
- Full score grid
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Team news
The teams in their last matches
| Stat | Perth Glory | Newcastle Jets |
|---|---|---|
| Goals scored per match | 1.6 | 1.6 |
| Goals conceded per match | 1.3 | 1.5 |
| xG per match | 1.39 | 1.94 |
| Opponents’ xG | 1.43 | 1.76 |
| Shots | 11.1 | 14.7 |
| On target | 4.5 | 5.0 |
| Corners | 2.5 | 6.0 |
| Cards | 1.7 | 1.8 |
| Possession, % | 42 | 57 |
Form
- 01.11Adelaide United4:0
- 23.10away · Brisbane Roar FC1:2
- 17.10away · Macarthur FC1:2
- 25.04Brisbane Roar FC2:1
- 18.04away · Sydney FC0:0
- 31.10Wellington Phoenix0:3
- 24.10Macarthur FC1:1
- 17.10away · Central Coast Mariners2:2
- 16.05Sydney FC1:1
- 09.05away · Sydney FC1:1
Head to head
- 13.02.2026Perth Glory — Newcastle Jets1:3
- 23.11.2025Newcastle Jets — Perth Glory1:2
- 25.01.2025Newcastle Jets — Perth Glory2:2
- 14.12.2024Perth Glory — Newcastle Jets0:4
- 09.03.2024Perth Glory — Newcastle Jets2:2
Table
| # | Team | P | W | +/− | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | Melbourne City FC | 3 | 1 | -1 | 4 |
| 8 | Perth Glory | 3 | 1 | +2 | 3 |
| 9 | Melbourne Victory | 3 | 0 | -1 | 2 |
| 10 | Central Coast Mariners | 3 | 0 | -2 | 2 |
| 11 | Newcastle Jets | 3 | 0 | -3 | 2 |
| 12 | Adelaide United | 2 | 0 | -5 | 0 |
A-League on the same day
- 5326201The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 2:12.9
- 4928231The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 2:02.8
This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 36% will not happen in roughly 64 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →