PremiumTelegram
EN
Sections

Accounts and Premium are not available in your country; every forecast is open. New forecasts every day — in our Telegram channel.

Liga MX (Mexico), round 17 · Monday, 23 November, (UTC+3)

Querétaro — Necaxa

☆ Save match

Model prediction for 23 November

Querétaro46%
Draw28%
Necaxa26%
Model estimate at (UTC+3)

Preliminary forecast: the match is more than a week away. Closer to it the model takes in fresh form, injuries and line-ups, and the numbers may move.

In short

Querétaro are clear favourites: 46% against 26% for the opponent, draw 28%.

3.1 goals expected in total — close to the competition average (2.9).

Over 2.5 goals — 59%, both teams to score — 65%.

Why

  • By the strength ratings the teams are almost level.
  • Querétaro are 197 points higher on Elo.

1 more fact behind the forecast — in Premium

Facts

  • League table: Querétaro — No. 11, 20 pts; Necaxa — No. 17, 10 pts. A gap of 10 pts.
  • Querétaro: 4 defeats in a row; Necaxa: winless in 5.
  • Last 5 meetings: Querétaro 1 win, Necaxa 2, 2 draws.

Probabilities

Expected goals: Querétaro — Necaxa What is xG?1.8–1.4
Querétaro not to lose74%
Necaxa not to lose54%
No draw72%
Both teams to score: yes65%
Both teams to score: no35%
Total over 2.559%
Total under 2.541%

183 more model lines in Premium

All totals and handicaps, team totals, corners and cards, the score grid, every factor and how the estimate moved before kick-off.

  • All totals
  • Handicap Querétaro
  • Querétaro goals
  • Necaxa goals
  • Corners and cards
  • Full score grid
Get Premiumfrom $5.99 a month

Team news

No news on injuries, suspensions or lineups yet. It usually comes 1–3 days before the match, the lineups about an hour before; this page updates every 15 minutes.

The teams in their last matches

StatQuerétaroNecaxa
Goals scored per match1.30.9
Goals conceded per match1.72.0
xG per match1.631.82
Opponents’ xG1.701.70
Shots14.314.6
On target4.14.8
Corners5.45.7
Cards2.32.4
Possession, %4346

Averages per match: Querétaro — the last 10, Necaxa — the last 10 matches in all competitions.

Form

Querétaro

  • 31.10away · FC Juárez1:3
  • 26.10Cruz Azul1:3
  • 21.10away · Atlético de San Luis1:2
  • 18.10away · Santos Laguna0:5
  • 11.10Atlante2:0

Necaxa

  • 02.11away · Santos Laguna0:1
  • 24.10FC Juárez1:1
  • 21.10away · Chivas0:1
  • 17.10Atlas0:2
  • 12.10away · Pachuca3:3

Head to head

  • 12.04.2026Querétaro — Necaxa3:1
  • 19.07.2025Necaxa — Querétaro3:1
  • 29.03.2025Necaxa — Querétaro2:0
  • 28.09.2024Querétaro — Necaxa0:0
  • 17.02.2024Querétaro — Necaxa1:1

Full record: 6 meetings →

Table

Table «Overall», season 2026 (Apertura)
#TeamPWDLGoals+/−Pts
10Pumas1555522–24-220
11Querétaro1462618–21-320
12Pachuca1554625–19+619
16Atlante1535716–24-814
17Necaxa1524916–28-1210
18FC Juárez15221112–34-228

Season 2026 (Apertura)

Full table

Liga MX on the same day

  • ChivasCruz Azulpreliminary
    1The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 2:02.9

This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 46% will not happen in roughly 54 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →