PremiumTelegram
EN
Sections

Accounts and Premium are not available in your country; every forecast is open. New forecasts every day — in our Telegram channel.

Uruguayan Primera Division, round 13 · Saturday, 31 October, (UTC+3)

Racing — Cerro Largo

☆ Save match

Model prediction and result

3:1Came true
Racing54%
Draw28%
Cerro Largo18%
Model estimate at (UTC+3), the last one before kick-off

In short

Final score 3:1: the model's most likely outcome, Racing to win (54%), came true.

Racing are clear favourites: 54% against 18% for the opponent, draw 28%.

2.2 goals expected in total — close to the competition average (2.4).

Over 2.5 goals — 40%, both teams to score — 43%.

Why

  • By the strength ratings Racing are about 0.3 goals per match stronger.
  • Racing are 174 points higher on Elo.

1 more fact behind the forecast — in Premium

Facts

  • Last 5 meetings: Racing 2 wins, Cerro Largo 0, 3 draws.

Probabilities

Expected goals: Racing — Cerro Largo What is xG?1.4–0.8
Racing not to lose82%
Cerro Largo not to lose46%
No draw72%
Both teams to score: yes43%
Both teams to score: no57%
Total over 2.540%
Total under 2.560%

91 more model lines in Premium

All totals and handicaps, team totals, corners and cards, the score grid, every factor and how the estimate moved before kick-off.

  • All totals
  • Handicap Racing
  • Racing goals
  • Cerro Largo goals
  • Corners and cards
  • Full score grid
Get Premiumfrom $5.99 a month

Match events

  1. 6′Tomás Habib · penalty · Racing1:0
  2. 27′Sebastián da Silva · Racing2:0
  3. 28′Sebastián Assís · Cerro Largo
  4. 47′Martín Ferreira · Racing
  5. 50′Sebastián Assís · Cerro Largo
  6. 53′Yury Oyarzo · Racing
  7. 57′Sebastián da Silva · Racing3:0
  8. 59′Felipe Álvarez · Racing
  9. 69′Elias de Leon · penalty · Cerro Largo3:1
  10. 69′Diego Daguerre · Cerro Largo
  11. 69′Facundo González · Racing
  12. 81′Martín Gianoli · Cerro Largo
  13. 87′Franco Suárez · Racing
Substitutions (8)
  1. 46′Andrés Córdoba ↔ Alexander Hernández · Cerro Largo
  2. 46′Diego Daguerre ↔ Axel Pandiani · Cerro Largo
  3. 57′Esteban da Silva ↔ Tomás Habib · Racing
  4. 70′Ramiro Brazionis ↔ Agustín De la Cuesta · Racing
  5. 70′Franco Suárez ↔ Facundo González · Racing
  6. 77′José Varela ↔ Sebastián da Silva · Racing
  7. 81′Alfonso De Luca ↔ Martín Gianoli · Cerro Largo
  8. 94′Borys Barone ↔ Alfonso De Luca · Cerro Largo

Lineups

Minutes — how long the player played, if under 90; on the right — the player’s match rating.

Racing

  1. GKFederico Varese
  2. DFGuillermo Cotugno
  3. DFFelipe Álvarez
  4. DFFacundo González70′
  5. DFMartín Ferreira
  6. MFAgustín De la Cuesta70′
  7. MFYury Oyarzo
  8. MFÁlex Vázquez
  9. MFJuan Bosca
  10. FWTomás Habib57′
  11. FWSebastián da Silva77′
Came on (4)
  1. DFRamiro Brazionis20′
  2. MFEsteban da Silva33′
  3. MFFranco Suárez20′
  4. MFJosé Varela13′

Cerro Largo

  1. GKPedro González
  2. DFMartín Gianoli81′
  3. DFAlexander Hernández46′
  4. DFAlexis Piegas
  5. DFSantiago Franca
  6. MFSebastián Assís
  7. MFMario García
  8. MFSantiago Marcel
  9. MFAxel Pandiani46′
  10. FWAlexis Segovia
  11. FWElias de Leon
Came on (3)
  1. FWAndrés Córdoba44′
  2. FWAlfonso De Luca9′
  3. FWDiego Daguerre44′

Form

Racing

  • 24.10away · Defensor Sporting3:3
  • 17.10Montevideo Wanderers3:0
  • 11.10away · Juventud de las Piedras0:2
  • 05.10Club Atletico Peñarol0:1
  • 26.09away · Club Atlético Progreso1:2

Cerro Largo

  • 25.10Boston River2:0
  • 17.10away · Cerro1:1
  • 11.10Albion0:1
  • 04.10away · Danubio1:2
  • 26.09Nacional (URU)0:2

Head to head

  • 17.05.2026Racing — Cerro Largo1:0
  • 26.04.2026Cerro Largo — Racing0:1
  • 26.10.2025Cerro Largo — Racing2:2
  • 28.04.2025Racing — Cerro Largo1:1
  • 05.10.2024Racing — Cerro Largo0:0

Full record: 10 meetings →

Uruguayan Primera on the same day

This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 54% will not happen in roughly 46 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →