PremiumTelegram
EN
Sections

Accounts and Premium are not available in your country; every forecast is open. New forecasts every day — in our Telegram channel.

Botola Pro (Morocco), round 5 · Wednesday, 28 October, (UTC+3) · Stade Mohamed V

Raja Casablanca — Hassania Agadir

☆ Save match

Model prediction and result

1:1Missed
Raja Casablanca61%
Draw25%
Hassania Agadir14%
Model estimate at (UTC+3), the last one before kick-off

In short

Final score 1:1: the model's most likely outcome, Raja Casablanca to win (61%), did not happen. That happens: an outcome at 61% fails in about 39 matches out of 100 on average.

Raja Casablanca are clear favourites: 61% against 14% for the opponent, draw 25%.

2.4 goals expected in total — close to the competition average (2.2).

Over 2.5 goals — 43%, both teams to score — 45%.

Why

  • By the strength ratings Raja Casablanca are about 0.9 goals per match stronger.
  • Raja Casablanca are 201 points higher on Elo.

Facts

  • Raja Casablanca: unbeaten in 5.
  • Last 5 meetings: Raja Casablanca 5 wins, Hassania Agadir 0.

Probabilities

Expected goals: Raja Casablanca — Hassania Agadir What is xG?1.6–0.8
Raja Casablanca not to lose86%
Hassania Agadir not to lose39%
No draw75%
Both teams to score: yes45%
Both teams to score: no55%
Total over 2.543%
Total under 2.557%

183 more model lines in Premium

All totals and handicaps, team totals, corners and cards, the score grid, every factor and how the estimate moved before kick-off.

  • All totals
  • Handicap Raja Casablanca
  • Raja Casablanca goals
  • Hassania Agadir goals
  • Corners and cards
  • Full score grid
Get Premiumfrom $5.99 a month

Match events

  1. 19′Othmane Chraibi · Raja Casablanca
  2. 36′Mohamed Doumbia · Hassania Agadir
  3. 56′Imad Riahi · Hassania Agadir
  4. 67′Amine Azri · Hassania Agadir0:1
  5. 79′Mathias Oyewusi · Raja Casablanca
  6. 81′Mathias Oyewusi · Raja Casablanca1:1
  7. 86′Mustapha Sahd · Hassania Agadir
  8. 92′Adam Ennaffati · missed penalty · Raja Casablanca
  9. 95′Marian Huja · Raja Casablanca
Substitutions (9)
  1. 60′Mathias Oyewusi ↔ Yahya Iguiz · Raja Casablanca
  2. 60′Adam Ennaffati ↔ Mohammad Abuzraiq · Raja Casablanca
  3. 70′Azzedine Laftah ↔ Youness Dahmani · Raja Casablanca
  4. 71′Abdelali Brayim ↔ Amine Azri · Hassania Agadir
  5. 72′Salaheddine Benyachou ↔ Imad Riahi · Hassania Agadir
  6. 72′Mustapha Sahd ↔ Tumisang Orebonye · Hassania Agadir
  7. 77′Ismail Khafi ↔ Mohamed Boulacsou · Raja Casablanca
  8. 80′Mehdi Akoumi ↔ Ayoub Benaadi · Hassania Agadir
  9. 80′Abderrahmane Qassak ↔ Jalal Tachtach · Hassania Agadir

Match statistics

Raja CasablancaHassania Agadir
  • 61Possession, %39
  • 10Shots6
  • 3On target3
  • 5Corners2
  • 3Yellow cards3
  • 0Red cards0

Lineups

Minutes — how long the player played, if under 90; on the right — the player’s match rating.

Raja Casablanca

  1. GKEl Mehdi Al Harrar
  2. DFBadr Banoune
  3. DFMarian Huja
  4. DFMohamed Boulacsou77′
  5. DFChemseddine Knaidil
  6. MFAymen Barkok
  7. MFMohamed Al-Makahasi
  8. MFOthmane Chraibi
  9. FWMohammad Abuzraiq60′
  10. FWYahya Iguiz60′
  11. FWYouness Dahmani70′
Came on (4)
  1. FWMathias Oyewusi30′
  2. FWIsmail Khafi13′
  3. FWAzzedine Laftah20′
  4. FWAdam Ennaffati30′

Hassania Agadir

  1. GKGaya Merbah
  2. DFAyman Tarrazi
  3. DFAyoub Boucheta
  4. DFAyoub Qasmi
  5. DFSoulaiman El Amrani
  6. MFMohamed Doumbia
  7. MFJalal Tachtach80′
  8. MFAyoub Benaadi80′
  9. FWAmine Azri71′
  10. FWImad Riahi72′
  11. FWTumisang Orebonye72′
Came on (5)
  1. FWSalaheddine Benyachou18′
  2. MFMehdi Akoumi10′
  3. FWAbdelali Brayim19′
  4. MFAbderrahmane Qassak10′
  5. FWMustapha Sahd18′

Form

Raja Casablanca

  • 13.10away · FUS Rabat1:1
  • 08.10away · MAS Fès0:0
  • 03.10Renaissance Club Zemamra1:0
  • 05.07away · Olympic Club de Safi2:0
  • 02.07Hassania Agadir2:0

Hassania Agadir

  • 12.10FAR Rabat2:2
  • 08.10away · Renaissance Club Zemamra5:2
  • 03.10MAS Fès1:2
  • 27.09away · KACM3:2
  • 05.07KACM1:1

Head to head

  • 02.07.2026Raja Casablanca — Hassania Agadir2:0
  • 02.03.2026Hassania Agadir — Raja Casablanca0:1
  • 23.04.2025Raja Casablanca — Hassania Agadir1:0
  • 01.12.2024Hassania Agadir — Raja Casablanca1:3
  • 20.02.2024Raja Casablanca — Hassania Agadir2:0

Full record: 7 meetings →

Table

Table «Overall», season 2026/27
#TeamPWDLGoals+/−Pts
6FAR Rabat42205–2+38
7Hassania Agadir622212–10+28
8Difaâ El Jadida622213–1308
12RS Berkane51404–2+27
13, Relegation play-offRaja Casablanca51313–4-16
14, Relegation play-offUS Amal Tiznit61146–12-64

Season 2026/27

Full table

Next matches

  • FUS RabatHassania Agadir31 October · Botola Pro
    1The most likely outcome came true: 1Final score 1:0. Model's score: 2:1.2.4
  • RS BerkaneRaja Casablanca1 November · Botola Pro
    1The most likely outcome came true: 1Final score 2:0. Model's score: 2:1.1.9

Botola Pro on the same day

  • FAR RabatIttihad Tanger
    1The most likely outcome came true: 1Final score 2:0. Model's score: 1:0.2.4

This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 61% will not happen in roughly 39 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →