PremiumTelegram
EN
Sections

Accounts and Premium are not available in your country; every forecast is open. New forecasts every day — in our Telegram channel.

Botola Pro (Morocco), round 5 · Wednesday, 28 October, (UTC+3) · Prince Moulay Abdellah Stadium

FAR Rabat — Ittihad Tanger

☆ Save match

Model prediction and result

2:0Came true
FAR Rabat60%
Draw25%
Ittihad Tanger15%
Model estimate at (UTC+3), the last one before kick-off

In short

Final score 2:0: the model's most likely outcome, FAR Rabat to win (60%), came true.

FAR Rabat are clear favourites: 60% against 15% for the opponent, draw 25%.

2.4 goals expected in total — close to the competition average (2.2).

Over 2.5 goals — 42%, both teams to score — 45%.

Why

  • By the strength ratings FAR Rabat are about 0.7 goals per match stronger.
  • FAR Rabat are 176 points higher on Elo.

1 more fact behind the forecast — in Premium

Facts

  • Last 5 meetings: FAR Rabat 2 wins, Ittihad Tanger 0, 3 draws.

Probabilities

Expected goals: FAR Rabat — Ittihad Tanger What is xG?1.6–0.8
FAR Rabat not to lose85%
Ittihad Tanger not to lose40%
No draw75%
Both teams to score: yes45%
Both teams to score: no55%
Total over 2.542%
Total under 2.558%

183 more model lines in Premium

All totals and handicaps, team totals, corners and cards, the score grid, every factor and how the estimate moved before kick-off.

  • All totals
  • Handicap FAR Rabat
  • FAR Rabat goals
  • Ittihad Tanger goals
  • Corners and cards
  • Full score grid
Get Premiumfrom $5.99 a month

Match events

  1. 11′Akram El Wahabi · Ittihad Tanger
  2. 30′Fallou Mendy · FAR Rabat
  3. 33′Bilal El Ouadghiri · Ittihad Tanger
  4. 35′Youssef El Fahli · missed penalty · FAR Rabat
  5. 53′Gape Mohutsiwa · Ittihad Tanger
  6. 80′Youssef El Fahli · penalty · FAR Rabat1:0
  7. 87′Nadir Lougmani · FAR Rabat
  8. 94′Soulaimane El Bouchqali · FAR Rabat
  9. 95′Abdelfettah Hadraf · FAR Rabat2:0
  10. 96′Abdelfettah Hadraf · FAR Rabat
Substitutions (10)
  1. 46′Mohamed El Arouch ↔ Akram El Wahabi · Ittihad Tanger
  2. 58′Abdelfettah Hadraf ↔ Khalid Aït Ouarkhane · FAR Rabat
  3. 72′Soulaimane El Bouchqali ↔ Merveil Ndockyt · FAR Rabat
  4. 72′Allan Okello ↔ Ahmed Hammoudan · FAR Rabat
  5. 74′Abdel Maâli ↔ Ibrahima Dieng · Ittihad Tanger
  6. 74′Ousama Siddiki ↔ Younes Najari · Ittihad Tanger
  7. 86′Mouhcine Bouriga ↔ Youssef El Fahli · FAR Rabat
  8. 88′Zine Derrag ↔ Nadir Lougmani · FAR Rabat
  9. 90′Senad Jarović ↔ Soufyan Ahannach · Ittihad Tanger
  10. 90′Hamza El Moudene ↔ Babacar Sarr · Ittihad Tanger

Match statistics

FAR RabatIttihad Tanger
  • 64Possession, %36
  • 15Shots2
  • 10On target2
  • 8Corners2
  • 4Yellow cards2
  • 0Red cards1

Lineups

Minutes — how long the player played, if under 90; on the right — the player’s match rating.

FAR Rabat

  1. GKAhmed Tagnaouti
  2. DFAnas Bach
  3. DFMarouane Louadni
  4. DFFallou Mendy
  5. DFJamal Ech-Chemmakh
  6. DFNadir Lougmani88′
  7. MFMerveil Ndockyt72′
  8. MFKhalid Aït Ouarkhane58′
  9. FWAhmed Hammoudan72′
  10. FWYoussef El Fahli86′
  11. FWJephte Kitambala
Came on (5)
  1. FWMouhcine Bouriga4′
  2. MFZine Derrag2′
  3. MFAbdelfettah Hadraf32′
  4. MFSoulaimane El Bouchqali18′
  5. FWAllan Okello18′

Ittihad Tanger

  1. GKBadreddine Abyir
  2. DFBilal El Ouadghiri
  3. DFSaad Ait Khorsa
  4. DFAkram El Wahabi46′
  5. MFAchraf Laâziri
  6. MFZakaria Kiani
  7. MFBabacar Sarr
  8. MFSoufyan Ahannach
  9. MFGape Mohutsiwa
  10. FWYounes Najari74′
  11. FWIbrahima Dieng74′
Came on (3)
  1. MFMohamed El Arouch44′
  2. FWOusama Siddiki16′
  3. MFAbdel Maâli16′

Form

FAR Rabat

  • 12.10away · Hassania Agadir2:2
  • 08.10Widad Temara1:0
  • 05.07Renaissance Club Zemamra0:0
  • 02.07away · CODM Meknès2:3
  • 28.06Union Touarga Sport2:2

Ittihad Tanger

  • 14.10MAS Fès2:1
  • 10.10away · KACM1:2
  • 02.10MAT Tetouan1:1
  • 24.09away · US Amal Tiznit3:1
  • 05.07CODM Meknès2:1

Head to head

  • 03.05.2026Ittihad Tanger — FAR Rabat0:0
  • 01.10.2025FAR Rabat — Ittihad Tanger1:1
  • 08.02.2025FAR Rabat — Ittihad Tanger3:2
  • 06.10.2024Ittihad Tanger — FAR Rabat1:1
  • 02.03.2024Ittihad Tanger — FAR Rabat1:2

Full record: 7 meetings →

Table

Table «Overall», season 2026/27
#TeamPWDLGoals+/−Pts
3, CAF Confederation CupWydad Casablanca63216–4+211
4Ittihad Tanger63128–7+110
5Widad Temara63037–4+39
6FAR Rabat42205–2+38
7Hassania Agadir622212–10+28

Season 2026/27

Full table

Next matches

  • CODM MeknèsFAR Rabat1 November · Botola Pro
    2The most likely outcome did not happen: 2Final score 0:0. Model's score: 0:2.2.3
  • Ittihad TangerRenaissance Club Zemamra1 November · Botola Pro
    1The most likely outcome came true: 1Final score 1:0. Model's score: 1:0, exactly right.2.3

Botola Pro on the same day

This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 60% will not happen in roughly 40 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →