Major League Soccer (MLS), round 32 · Thursday, 29 October, MSK
Seattle Sounders FC — Houston Dynamo FC
☆ Save matchModel prediction for 29 October
Preliminary forecast: the match is more than a week away. Closer to it the model takes in fresh form, injuries and line-ups, and the numbers may move.
In short
Seattle Sounders FC are clear favourites: 47% against 25% for the opponent, draw 28%.
The model expects few goals: 2.8 in total, against a competition average of 3.3.
Over 2.5 goals — 56%, both teams to score — 59%.
Why
- By the strength ratings Seattle Sounders FC are about 0.4 goals per match stronger.
Facts
- League table: Seattle Sounders FC — No. 13, 41 pts; Houston Dynamo FC — No. 10, 45 pts. A gap of 4 pts.
- Seattle Sounders FC: 4 wins in a row; Houston Dynamo FC: winless in 4.
- Last 5 meetings: Seattle Sounders FC 2 wins, Houston Dynamo FC 0, 3 draws.
Probabilities
| Expected goals: Seattle Sounders FC — Houston Dynamo FC What is xG? | 1.6–1.1 | |
| Seattle Sounders FC not to lose | 75% | |
| Houston Dynamo FC not to lose | 53% | |
| No draw | 72% | |
| Both teams to score: yes | 59% | |
| Both teams to score: no | 41% | |
| Total over 2.5 | 56% | |
| Total under 2.5 | 44% |
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Form
- 11.10away · New England Revolution3:0
- 02.10Sporting Kansas City2:1
- 27.09Minnesota United3:1
- 24.09Real Salt Lake2:0
- 20.09away · Colorado Rapids3:3
- 11.10away · Minnesota United2:2
- 27.09Sporting Kansas City0:2
- 20.09FC Cincinnati2:2
- 13.09away · San Jose Earthquakes0:1
- 10.09Real Salt Lake2:1
Head to head
- 05.04.2026Houston Dynamo FC — Seattle Sounders FC0:1
- 11.05.2025Houston Dynamo FC — Seattle Sounders FC1:3
- 23.03.2025Seattle Sounders FC — Houston Dynamo FC0:0
- 04.11.2024Houston Dynamo FC — Seattle Sounders FC1:1
- 29.10.2024Seattle Sounders FC — Houston Dynamo FC0:0
Table
| # | Team | P | W | +/− | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9, Playoffs: top 7 in each conference | New England Revolution | 28 | 14 | +6 | 46 |
| 10, Playoffs: top 7 in each conference | Houston Dynamo FC | 28 | 13 | +2 | 45 |
| 11, Playoffs: top 7 in each conference | Los Angeles FC | 29 | 11 | +13 | 42 |
| 12, Playoffs: top 7 in each conference | Philadelphia Union | 28 | 12 | +11 | 42 |
| 13, Playoffs: top 7 in each conference | Seattle Sounders FC | 28 | 11 | +3 | 41 |
| 14, Wild-card game, 8th v 9th, for a playoff place | Colorado Rapids | 28 | 11 | 0 | 37 |
MLS on the same day
- Charlotte FCCF Montréalpreliminary5725181The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 2:13.2
- Inter Miami CFFC Cincinnatipreliminary6221171The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 3:24.1
- New England RevolutionRed Bull New Yorkpreliminary5425211The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 2:03.4
- New York City FCAtlanta Unitedpreliminary5027231The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 2:13.0
- Toronto FCDC Unitedpreliminary4030301The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 2:02.8
- Austin FCReal Salt Lakepreliminary363035XThe model's most likely outcome: XModel's score: 1:13.1
- Chicago Fire FCOrlando Citypreliminary5523221The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 2:13.7
- FC DallasColumbus Crewpreliminary4030311The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 2:12.9
This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 47% will not happen in roughly 53 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →