Swiss Super League, round 13 · Sunday, 8 November, (UTC+3)
Servette — FC Zürich
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In short
Servette are clear favourites: 51% against 24% for the opponent, draw 25%.
3.2 goals expected in total — close to the competition average (3.4).
Over 2.5 goals — 63%, both teams to score — 64%.
Why
- By the strength ratings Servette are about 0.7 goals per match stronger.
- Servette are 145 points higher on Elo.
Facts
- League table: Servette — No. 6, 16 pts; FC Zürich — No. 4, 20 pts. A gap of 4 pts.
- FC Zürich: 3 wins in a row.
- Last 5 meetings: Servette 2 wins, FC Zürich 2, 1 draw.
Probabilities
| Expected goals: Servette — FC Zürich What is xG? | 1.9–1.3 | |
| Servette not to lose | 76% | |
| FC Zürich not to lose | 49% | |
| No draw | 75% | |
| Both teams to score: yes | 64% | |
| Both teams to score: no | 36% | |
| Total over 2.5 | 63% | |
| Total under 2.5 | 37% |
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All totals and handicaps, team totals, corners and cards, the score grid, every factor and how the estimate moved before kick-off.
- All totals
- Handicap Servette
- Servette goals
- FC Zürich goals
- Corners and cards
- Full score grid
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Team news
The teams in their last matches
| Stat | Servette | FC Zürich |
|---|---|---|
| Goals scored per match | 1.6 | 2.2 |
| Goals conceded per match | 1.3 | 2.3 |
| xG per match | 1.50 | 1.62 |
| Opponents’ xG | 1.41 | 2.09 |
| Shots | 15.0 | 13.6 |
| On target | 5.1 | 5.2 |
| Corners | 5.3 | 4.4 |
| Cards | 2.9 | 2.3 |
| Possession, % | 47 | 47 |
Form
- 31.10away · St. Gallen1:2
- 24.10FC Vaduz2:1
- 10.10Sion3:0
- 19.09away · Young Boys2:3
- 16.09away · Thun4:2
Head to head
- 01.08.2026FC Zürich — Servette2:1
- 16.05.2026FC Zürich — Servette0:2
- 07.03.2026Servette — FC Zürich2:1
- 18.01.2026Servette — FC Zürich1:1
- 13.09.2025FC Zürich — Servette2:1
Table
| # | Team | P | W | +/− | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3, Championship round | Sion | 12 | 7 | +7 | 23 |
| 4, Championship round | FC Zürich | 12 | 6 | -1 | 20 |
| 5, Championship round | St. Gallen | 12 | 6 | -3 | 19 |
| 6, Championship round | Servette | 12 | 5 | +1 | 16 |
| 7, Relegation round | Basel | 12 | 4 | -4 | 14 |
Swiss Super League on the same day
- 4227311The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 2:13.2
- 4227321The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 2:13.6
This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 51% will not happen in roughly 49 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →