PremiumTelegram
EN
Sections

Accounts and Premium are not available in your country; every forecast is open. New forecasts every day — in our Telegram channel.

Swiss Super League, round 13 · Sunday, 8 November, (UTC+3)

Thun — Basel

☆ Save match

Model prediction for 8 November

Thun42%
Draw27%
Basel32%
Model estimate at (UTC+3)

In short

Thun are slightly stronger: 42% against 32%, draw 27%.

3.6 goals expected in total — close to the competition average (3.4).

Over 2.5 goals — 70%, both teams to score — 72%.

Why

  • By the strength ratings the teams are almost level.
  • Thun are 89 points higher on Elo.

Facts

  • League table: Thun — No. 9, 13 pts; Basel — No. 7, 14 pts. A gap of 1 pt.
  • Basel: winless in 4.
  • Last 5 meetings: Thun 2 wins, Basel 3.

Probabilities

Expected goals: Thun — Basel What is xG?1.9–1.7
Thun not to lose68%
Basel not to lose58%
No draw73%
Both teams to score: yes72%
Both teams to score: no28%
Total over 2.570%
Total under 2.530%

183 more model lines in Premium

All totals and handicaps, team totals, corners and cards, the score grid, every factor and how the estimate moved before kick-off.

  • All totals
  • Handicap Thun
  • Thun goals
  • Basel goals
  • Corners and cards
  • Full score grid
Get Premiumfrom $5.99 a month

Team news

No news on injuries, suspensions or lineups yet. It usually comes 1–3 days before the match, the lineups about an hour before; this page updates every 15 minutes.

The teams in their last matches

StatThunBasel
Goals scored per match1.51.7
Goals conceded per match2.22.1
xG per match1.701.20
Opponents’ xG1.911.75
Shots15.413.1
On target4.23.9
Corners5.33.9
Cards2.52.6
Possession, %4954

Averages per match: Thun — the last 10, Basel — the last 10 matches in all competitions.

Form

Thun

  • 01.11away · Lausanne5:4
  • 25.10Lugano2:3
  • 22.10Hajduk Split0:1
  • 15.10away · FC Twente0:1
  • 10.10away · FC Zürich2:4

Basel

  • 01.11away · Lugano1:2
  • 25.10Grasshopper0:0
  • 11.10away · FC Vaduz0:3
  • 20.09St. Gallen1:3
  • 13.09away · Luzern4:2

Head to head

  • 09.08.2026Basel — Thun4:2
  • 02.05.2026Basel — Thun3:1
  • 18.04.2026Thun — Basel3:1
  • 01.02.2026Basel — Thun1:2
  • 13.09.2025Thun — Basel1:3

Full record: 5 meetings →

Table

Table «Overall», season 2026/27
#TeamPWDLGoals+/−Pts
6, Championship roundServette1251617–16+116
7, Relegation roundBasel1242618–22-414
8, Relegation roundLuzern1234519–25-613
9, Relegation roundThun1241724–34-1013
10, Relegation roundFC Vaduz1231824–25-110

Season 2026/27

Full table

Swiss Super League on the same day

  • St. GallenLugano
    1The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 2:13.2
  • ServetteFC Zürich
    1The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 3:13.2

This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 42% will not happen in roughly 58 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →