Swiss Super League, round 14 · Saturday, 21 November, 22:30 (UTC+3)

Sion — Servette

Model prediction for 21 November

Sion56%

Draw26%

Servette18%

Model estimate at 06:09 (UTC+3)

Preliminary forecast: the match is more than a week away. Closer to it the model takes in fresh form, injuries and line-ups, and the numbers may move.

In short

Sion are clear favourites: 56% against 18% for the opponent, draw 26%.

The model expects few goals: 2.9 in total, against a competition average of 3.4.

Over 2.5 goals — 57%, both teams to score — 60%.

Why

By the strength ratings the teams are almost level.
Sion are 153 points higher on Elo.

1 more fact behind the forecast — in Premium

Facts

League table: Sion — No. 3, 23 pts; Servette — No. 6, 16 pts. A gap of 7 pts.
Last 5 meetings: Sion 0 wins, Servette 2, 3 draws.

Probabilities

Expected goals: Sion — Servette What is xG?		1.8–1.1
Sion not to lose		82%
Servette not to lose		44%
No draw		74%
Both teams to score: yes		60%
Both teams to score: no		40%
Total over 2.5		57%
Total under 2.5		43%

183 more model lines in Premium

All totals and handicaps, team totals, corners and cards, the score grid, every factor and how the estimate moved before kick-off.

All totals
Handicap Sion
Sion goals
Servette goals
Corners and cards
Full score grid

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Team news

No news on injuries, suspensions or lineups yet. It usually comes 1–3 days before the match, the lineups about an hour before; this page updates every 15 minutes.

The teams in their last matches

Stat	Sion	Servette
Goals scored per match	2.0	1.6
Goals conceded per match	1.4	1.3
xG per match	2.31	1.50
Opponents’ xG	1.33	1.41
Shots	15.7	15.0
On target	5.0	5.1
Corners	5.9	5.3
Cards	1.7	2.9
Possession, %	53	47

Averages per match: Sion — the last 10, Servette — the last 10 matches in all competitions.

Form

Sion

31.10away · Luzern1:1
25.10Lausanne1:0
10.10away · Servette0:3
19.09FC Zürich1:1
15.09away · Grasshopper5:2

Servette

31.10away · St. Gallen1:2
24.10FC Vaduz2:1
10.10Sion3:0
19.09away · Young Boys2:3
16.09away · Thun4:2

Head to head

10.10.2026Servette — Sion3:0
28.02.2026Servette — Sion0:0
31.01.2026Servette — Sion3:3
17.09.2025Sion — Servette0:2
13.04.2025Sion — Servette1:1

Full record: 7 meetings →

Table

Table «Overall», season 2026/27
#	Team	P	W	D	L	Goals	+/−	Pts
2, Championship round	Young Boys	12	7	4	1	38–23	+15	25
3, Championship round	Sion	12	7	2	3	25–18	+7	23
4, Championship round	FC Zürich	12	6	2	4	25–26	-1	20
5, Championship round	St. Gallen	12	6	1	5	19–22	-3	19
6, Championship round	Servette	12	5	1	6	17–16	+1	16
7, Relegation round	Basel	12	4	2	6	18–22	-4	14

Season 2026/27

Full table

Swiss Super League on the same day

20:00
LuganoGrasshopperpreliminary
682011
1The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 3:13.3
20:00
Young BoysThunpreliminary
602218
1The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 2:14.3

This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 56% will not happen in roughly 44 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →