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South African Premiership · Saturday, 31 October, (UTC+3) · Danie Craven Stadium

Stellenbosch FC — Chippa United

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Model prediction and result

0:2Missed
Stellenbosch FC56%
Draw28%
Chippa United16%
Model estimate at (UTC+3), the last one before kick-off

In short

Final score 0:2: the model's most likely outcome, Stellenbosch FC to win (56%), did not happen. That happens: an outcome at 56% fails in about 44 matches out of 100 on average.

Stellenbosch FC are clear favourites: 56% against 16% for the opponent, draw 28%.

1.9 goals expected in total — close to the competition average (2.1).

Over 2.5 goals — 30%, both teams to score — 35%.

Why

  • By the strength ratings Stellenbosch FC are about 0.6 goals per match stronger.
  • Stellenbosch FC are 176 points higher on Elo.

Facts

  • Stellenbosch FC: unbeaten in 4.
  • Last 5 meetings: Stellenbosch FC 3 wins, Chippa United 0, 2 draws.

Probabilities

Expected goals: Stellenbosch FC — Chippa United What is xG?1.3–0.6
Stellenbosch FC not to lose84%
Chippa United not to lose44%
No draw72%
Both teams to score: yes35%
Both teams to score: no65%
Total over 2.530%
Total under 2.570%

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All totals and handicaps, team totals, corners and cards, the score grid, every factor and how the estimate moved before kick-off.

  • All totals
  • Handicap Stellenbosch FC
  • Stellenbosch FC goals
  • Chippa United goals
  • Corners and cards
  • Full score grid
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Match events

  1. 27′Harold Majadibodu · Chippa United0:1
  2. 32′Lehlogonolo Matlou · Stellenbosch FC
  3. 83′Imraan Jones · Chippa United0:2
Substitutions (9)
  1. 58′Quwan Christiano Plaatjies ↔ Raoul Daniels · Stellenbosch FC
  2. 58′Darrel Matsheke ↔ Siviwe Nkwali · Stellenbosch FC
  3. 65′Muzomuhle Khanyi ↔ Azola Matrose · Chippa United
  4. 71′Tlakusani Mthethwa ↔ Thabiso Lebitso · Stellenbosch FC
  5. 76′Ntuthuko Mlotshwa ↔ Sirgio Kammies · Chippa United
  6. 76′Ibrahim Bancé ↔ Harold Majadibodu · Chippa United
  7. 81′Ashley Du Preez ↔ Qobolwakhe Sibande · Stellenbosch FC
  8. 81′Kgaogelo Ramushu ↔ Lehlogonolo Matlou · Stellenbosch FC
  9. 84′Bongani Sam ↔ Azola Tshobeni · Chippa United

Match statistics

Stellenbosch FCChippa United
  • 0.94Expected goals (xG)1.03
  • 59Possession, %41
  • 15Shots7
  • 3On target5
  • 0Big chances2
  • 7Corners2
  • 12Fouls8
  • 3Offsides8
  • 1Yellow cards0
  • 0Red cards0

Lineups

Minutes — how long the player played, if under 90; on the right — the player’s match rating.

Stellenbosch FC

  1. GKSage Shane Stephens (C)4.9
  2. DFSpiwe Msimango6.6
  3. DFLuthando Vena7.4
  4. DFTerrence Mashego6.6
  5. DFThabiso Lebitso71′6.8
  6. MFSiviwe Nkwali58′6.1
  7. MFLehlogonolo Matlou81′6.6
  8. MFChumani Butsaka6.3
  9. FWRaoul Daniels58′7.0
  10. FWSinoxolo Kwayiba6.7
  11. FWQobolwakhe Sibande81′6.6
Came on (5)
  1. DFDarrel Matsheke32′6.0
  2. FWQuwan Christiano Plaatjies32′6.8
  3. DFKgaogelo Ramushu9′
  4. MFTlakusani Mthethwa19′6.5
  5. FWAshley Du Preez9′

Chippa United

  1. GKStanley Nwabili7.5
  2. DFBoy Madingwana6.8
  3. DFHarold Majadibodu76′8.1
  4. DFImraan Jones8.2
  5. DFTshepang Makara7.5
  6. MFAbbubakar Mobara7.6
  7. MFGoodman Mosele (C)7.4
  8. MFAzola Tshobeni84′7.3
  9. FWAzola Matrose65′6.7
  10. FWJustice Figuareido7.9
  11. FWSirgio Kammies76′6.9
Came on (4)
  1. MFNtuthuko Mlotshwa14′5.9
  2. MFIbrahim Bancé14′6.2
  3. FWMuzomuhle Khanyi25′6.0
  4. DFBongani Sam6′

Form

Stellenbosch FC

  • 13.10away · Kaizer Chiefs1:1
  • 19.09away · Kruger United1:0
  • 11.09Sekhukhune United1:1
  • 01.09away · Durban City0:0
  • 26.08away · Lamontville Golden Arrows0:1

Chippa United

  • 17.10Kruger United0:1
  • 20.09away · TS Galaxy1:0
  • 12.09Mamelodi Sundowns FC1:1
  • 05.09Milford FC0:0
  • 25.08away · Siwelele1:1

Head to head

  • 21.03.2026Stellenbosch FC — Chippa United2:1
  • 28.09.2025Chippa United — Stellenbosch FC0:0
  • 30.04.2025Stellenbosch FC — Chippa United1:0
  • 23.10.2024Chippa United — Stellenbosch FC0:2
  • 01.03.2024Stellenbosch FC — Chippa United1:1

Full record: 7 meetings →

Table

Table «Overall», season 2026/27
#TeamPWDLGoals+/−Pts
6Sekhukhune United94239–9014
7Chippa United92526–7-111
8Stellenbosch FC92439–10-110
9Kruger United93157–13-610

Season 2026/27

Full table

SA Premiership on the same day

This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 56% will not happen in roughly 44 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →