Brazilian Serie A, round 35 · Friday, 20 November, 01:30 (UTC+3)

Vitória — RB Bragantino

Model prediction for 20 November

Vitória37%

Draw30%

RB Bragantino33%

Model estimate at 06:09 (UTC+3)

Preliminary forecast: the match is more than a week away. Closer to it the model takes in fresh form, injuries and line-ups, and the numbers may move.

In short

Evenly matched: Vitória 37%, RB Bragantino 33%, draw 30%.

2.7 goals expected in total — close to the competition average (2.7).

Over 2.5 goals — 51%, both teams to score — 57%.

Why

By the strength ratings the teams are almost level.

Facts

League table: Vitória — No. 16, 38 pts; RB Bragantino — No. 8, 47 pts. A gap of 9 pts.
Vitória: winless in 4.
Last 5 meetings: Vitória 2 wins, RB Bragantino 3.

Probabilities

Expected goals: Vitória — RB Bragantino What is xG?		1.4–1.3
Vitória not to lose		67%
RB Bragantino not to lose		63%
No draw		70%
Both teams to score: yes		57%
Both teams to score: no		42%
Total over 2.5		51%
Total under 2.5		49%

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All totals and handicaps, team totals, corners and cards, the score grid, every factor and how the estimate moved before kick-off.

All totals
Handicap Vitória
Vitória goals
RB Bragantino goals
Corners and cards
Full score grid

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Team news

No news on injuries, suspensions or lineups yet. It usually comes 1–3 days before the match, the lineups about an hour before; this page updates every 15 minutes.

The teams in their last matches

Stat	Vitória	RB Bragantino
Goals scored per match	1.2	1.5
Goals conceded per match	1.5	1.4
xG per match	1.10	1.68
Opponents’ xG	1.18	1.88
Shots	12.7	19.4
On target	4.4	7.2
Corners	3.8	7.3
Cards	2.0	1.7
Possession, %	46	47

Averages per match: Vitória — the last 10, RB Bragantino — the last 10 matches in all competitions.

Form

Vitória

31.10away · Coritiba0:2
24.10Athletico Paranaense1:1
20.10away · Corinthians1:1
11.10away · São Paulo1:2
08.10Chapecoense4:0

RB Bragantino

03.11Santos2:1
29.10Chapecoense3:0
25.10away · Palmeiras0:2
19.10away · Remo1:1
13.10Cruzeiro4:2

Head to head

18.05.2026RB Bragantino — Vitória2:0
04.12.2025RB Bragantino — Vitória4:0
20.07.2025Vitória — RB Bragantino1:0
19.10.2024Vitória — RB Bragantino1:0
24.06.2024RB Bragantino — Vitória2:1

Full record: 5 meetings →

Table

Table «Overall», season 2026
#	Team	P	W	D	L	Goals	+/−	Pts
7, Copa Sudamericana	Atlético-MG	33	14	8	11	44–39	+5	50
8, Copa Sudamericana	RB Bragantino	34	13	8	13	44–39	+5	47
9, Copa Sudamericana	Santos	34	12	11	11	50–49	+1	47
15	Vasco da Gama	32	10	8	14	40–49	-9	38
16	Vitória	33	10	8	15	35–48	-13	38
17, Relegation	Grêmio	33	9	10	14	37–44	-7	37

Season 2026

Full table

Brasileirao on the same day

01:30
Vasco da GamaInternacionalpreliminary
552619
1The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 2:12.7
03:30
São PauloFluminensepreliminary
432928
1The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 2:02.4

This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 37% will not happen in roughly 63 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →