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Austrian Bundesliga, round 13 · Sunday, 22 November, (UTC+3)

Wolfsberger AC — Ried

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Model prediction for 22 November

Wolfsberger AC32%
Draw30%
Ried38%
Model estimate at (UTC+3)

Preliminary forecast: the match is more than a week away. Closer to it the model takes in fresh form, injuries and line-ups, and the numbers may move.

In short

Evenly matched: Wolfsberger AC 32%, Ried 38%, draw 30%.

3.0 goals expected in total — close to the competition average (2.9).

Over 2.5 goals — 57%, both teams to score — 63%.

Why

  • By the strength ratings Ried are about 0.3 goals per match stronger.

Facts

  • League table: Wolfsberger AC — No. 12, 6 pts; Ried — No. 6, 16 pts. A gap of 10 pts.
  • Wolfsberger AC: winless in 5; Ried: unbeaten in 5.
  • Last 5 meetings: Wolfsberger AC 1 win, Ried 3, 1 draw.

Probabilities

Expected goals: Wolfsberger AC — Ried What is xG?1.4–1.6
Wolfsberger AC not to lose62%
Ried not to lose68%
No draw70%
Both teams to score: yes63%
Both teams to score: no37%
Total over 2.557%
Total under 2.543%

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All totals and handicaps, team totals, corners and cards, the score grid, every factor and how the estimate moved before kick-off.

  • All totals
  • Handicap Wolfsberger AC
  • Wolfsberger AC goals
  • Ried goals
  • Corners and cards
  • Full score grid
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Team news

No news on injuries, suspensions or lineups yet. It usually comes 1–3 days before the match, the lineups about an hour before; this page updates every 15 minutes.

The teams in their last matches

StatWolfsberger ACRied
Goals scored per match0.51.8
Goals conceded per match2.01.7
xG per match0.891.71
Opponents’ xG2.481.78
Shots11.913.0
On target2.84.9
Corners4.13.5
Cards2.52.3
Possession, %4246

Averages per match: Wolfsberger AC — the last 10, Ried — the last 10 matches in all competitions.

Form

Wolfsberger AC

  • 01.11Sturm Graz1:1
  • 24.10away · Hartberg0:1
  • 18.10WSG Tirol0:2
  • 11.10away · Altach0:3
  • 20.09away · Ried1:4

Ried

  • 31.10away · Altach1:1
  • 25.10away · Sturm Graz2:2
  • 17.10Austria Wien3:2
  • 10.10away · WSG Tirol2:1
  • 20.09Wolfsberger AC4:1

Head to head

  • 20.09.2026Ried — Wolfsberger AC4:1
  • 19.05.2026Ried — Wolfsberger AC2:1
  • 09.05.2026Ried — Wolfsberger AC0:1
  • 11.04.2026Wolfsberger AC — Ried0:0
  • 29.11.2025Ried — Wolfsberger AC1:0

Full record: 6 meetings →

Table

Table «Overall», season 2026/27
#TeamPWDLGoals+/−Pts
5, Championship roundHartberg1152420–19+117
6, Championship roundRied1144319–18+116
7, Relegation roundWSG Tirol1133514–17-312
11, Relegation roundAustria Wien1121810–22-127
12, Relegation roundWolfsberger AC111378–20-126

Season 2026/27

Full table

Austrian Bundesliga on the same day

  • AltachSturm Grazpreliminary
    2The model's most likely outcome: 2Model's score: 1:22.6
  • Austria WienSalzburgpreliminary
    2The model's most likely outcome: 2Model's score: 0:22.9

This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 38% will not happen in roughly 62 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →