AHL (American Hockey League) · Monday, 19 October, MSK

Abbotsford Canucks — Coachella Valley Firebirds

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Model prediction for 19 October

Abbotsford Canucks35%
Draw in regulation22%
Coachella Valley Firebirds43%
Model estimate at MSK

In short

Coachella Valley Firebirds are favourites: 55% to win including overtime and shootout.

The model expects few goals: 5.4 in total, against a competition average of 5.8.

Over 5.5 goals in regulation — 50%.

Why

  • Coachella Valley Firebirds are more dangerous in attack: 2.8 expected goals against 2.6.

Facts

  • League table: Abbotsford Canucks — No. 24, 3 pts; Coachella Valley Firebirds — No. 10, 6 pts. A gap of 3 pts.
  • Last 5 meetings: Abbotsford Canucks 1 win, Coachella Valley Firebirds 4.

Probabilities

Expected goals: Abbotsford Canucks — Coachella Valley Firebirds2.6–2.8
Abbotsford Canucks to win (incl. OT and shootout)45%
Coachella Valley Firebirds to win (incl. OT and shootout)55%
Total over 5.5 (regulation)50%
Total under 5.5 (regulation)50%

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Form

Abbotsford Canucks

  • 11.10away · Colorado Eagles4:3
  • 10.10away · Colorado Eagles3:4 SO
  • 04.10away · Calgary Wranglers2:4
  • 03.10away · Calgary Wranglers2:4
  • 20.04away · Coachella Valley Firebirds4:2

Coachella Valley Firebirds

  • 12.10Ontario Reign2:3 OT
  • 10.10San Diego Gulls6:3
  • 04.10away · Ontario Reign6:2
  • 03.10Ontario Reign5:6 OT
  • 21.05away · Colorado Eagles2:3

Head to head

  • 20.04.2026Coachella Valley Firebirds — Abbotsford Canucks2:4
  • 05.04.2026Abbotsford Canucks — Coachella Valley Firebirds2:3 OT
  • 04.04.2026Abbotsford Canucks — Coachella Valley Firebirds0:2
  • 19.01.2026Coachella Valley Firebirds — Abbotsford Canucks3:0
  • 28.12.2025Coachella Valley Firebirds — Abbotsford Canucks3:2 OT

Full record: 24 meetings →

Table

Table «Overall», season 2026/27
#TeamPWOTLLGoals+/−PtsP%
9Cleveland Monsters430117–15+26.750
10Coachella Valley Firebirds422019–14+56.750
11Grand Rapids Griffins531117–13+47.700
23Hamilton Hammers411214–17-33.375
24Abbotsford Canucks411211–15-43.375
25Texas Stars41129–15-63.375

Season 2026/27 · 2 points for a win, 1 for an overtime or shootout loss, ranked by points percentage

Full table

This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 43% will not happen in roughly 57 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →