DEL (German hockey league) · Sunday, 15 November, (UTC+3)
Adler Mannheim — ERC Ingolstadt
☆ Save matchModel prediction for 15 November
Preliminary forecast: the match is more than a week away. Closer to it the model takes in fresh form, injuries and line-ups, and the numbers may move.
In short
Adler Mannheim are clear favourites: 63% to win including overtime and shootout.
5.9 goals expected in total — close to the competition average (6.0).
Over 5.5 goals in regulation — 59%.
Why
- Adler Mannheim are more dangerous in attack: 3.3 expected goals against 2.6.
Facts
- League table: Adler Mannheim — No. 2, 30 pts; ERC Ingolstadt — No. 7, 20 pts. A gap of 10 pts.
- Adler Mannheim: 4 wins in a row; ERC Ingolstadt: 3 defeats in a row.
- Last 5 meetings: Adler Mannheim 2 wins, ERC Ingolstadt 3.
Probabilities
| Expected goals: Adler Mannheim — ERC Ingolstadt | 3.3–2.6 | |
| Adler Mannheim to win (incl. OT and shootout) | 63% | |
| ERC Ingolstadt to win (incl. OT and shootout) | 37% | |
| Total over 5.5 (regulation) | 59% | |
| Total under 5.5 (regulation) | 41% |
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All totals and handicaps, team totals, the score grid, every factor and how the estimate moved before kick-off.
- All totals
- Totals incl. OT
- Handicap Adler Mannheim
- Adler Mannheim goals
- Overtime chance
- Full score grid
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Form
- 01.11away · Eisbaren Berlin3:1
- 30.10Bremerhaven4:3 OT
- 27.10away · Kolner6:5 OT
- 23.10Frankfurt Lowen3:0
- 18.10Schwenninger1:2
- 01.11away · Frankfurt Lowen2:5
- 30.10Eisbaren Berlin3:5
- 25.10away · Bremerhaven2:6
- 23.10away · Grizzly Wolfsburg4:1
- 20.10Grizzly Wolfsburg3:2
Head to head
- 27.09.2026ERC Ingolstadt — Adler Mannheim3:2 OT
- 08.03.2026ERC Ingolstadt — Adler Mannheim0:4
- 26.12.2025Adler Mannheim — ERC Ingolstadt2:5
- 26.10.2025ERC Ingolstadt — Adler Mannheim5:2
- 21.09.2025Adler Mannheim — ERC Ingolstadt2:1
Table
| # | Team | P | W | +/− | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1, Playoffs: straight to the quarter-finals | Eisbaren Berlin | 14 | 10 | +26 | 32 |
| 2, Playoffs: straight to the quarter-finals | Adler Mannheim | 15 | 8 | +15 | 30 |
| 3, Playoffs: straight to the quarter-finals | Nurnberg Ice Tigers | 15 | 9 | +22 | 28 |
| 6, Playoffs: straight to the quarter-finals | Kolner | 15 | 6 | +4 | 25 |
| 7, Play-in round for the quarter-finals | ERC Ingolstadt | 15 | 5 | -8 | 20 |
| 8, Play-in round for the quarter-finals | Augsburger Panther | 14 | 5 | +1 | 19 |
DEL on the same day
- BremerhavenAugsburger Pantherpreliminary59411The model's most likely outcome: 122%Model's score: 4:25.2
- MunchenKrefeld Pinguinepreliminary67331The model's most likely outcome: 120%Model's score: 4:25.8
- KolnerGrizzly Wolfsburgpreliminary67331The model's most likely outcome: 120%Model's score: 4:25.8
- Nurnberg Ice TigersIserlohn Roosterspreliminary67331The model's most likely outcome: 120%Model's score: 4:25.4
- Straubing TigersFrankfurt Lowenpreliminary68321The model's most likely outcome: 120%Model's score: 4:25.3
- Eisbaren BerlinSchwenningerpreliminary74261The model's most likely outcome: 119%Model's score: 4:15.4
This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 52% will not happen in roughly 48 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →