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DEL (German hockey league) · Sunday, 15 November, (UTC+3)

Straubing Tigers — Frankfurt Lowen

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Model prediction for 15 November

Straubing Tigers56%
Draw in regulation20%
Frankfurt Lowen24%
Model estimate at (UTC+3)

Preliminary forecast: the match is more than a week away. Closer to it the model takes in fresh form, injuries and line-ups, and the numbers may move.

In short

Straubing Tigers are clear favourites: 68% to win including overtime and shootout.

The model expects few goals: 5.3 in total, against a competition average of 6.0.

Over 5.5 goals in regulation — 49%.

Why

  • Straubing Tigers are more dangerous in attack: 3.2 expected goals against 2.2.

Facts

  • League table: Straubing Tigers — No. 5, 26 pts; Frankfurt Lowen — No. 10, 17 pts. A gap of 9 pts.
  • Last 5 meetings: Straubing Tigers 5 wins, Frankfurt Lowen 0.

Probabilities

Expected goals: Straubing Tigers — Frankfurt Lowen3.2–2.2
Straubing Tigers to win (incl. OT and shootout)68%
Frankfurt Lowen to win (incl. OT and shootout)32%
Total over 5.5 (regulation)49%
Total under 5.5 (regulation)51%

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All totals and handicaps, team totals, the score grid, every factor and how the estimate moved before kick-off.

  • All totals
  • Totals incl. OT
  • Handicap Straubing Tigers
  • Straubing Tigers goals
  • Overtime chance
  • Full score grid
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Form

Straubing Tigers

  • 01.11away · Bremerhaven2:5
  • 30.10Munchen4:2
  • 25.10away · Augsburger Panther4:2
  • 23.10Kolner3:5
  • 18.10Grizzly Wolfsburg3:2

Frankfurt Lowen

  • 01.11ERC Ingolstadt5:2
  • 29.10away · Augsburger Panther2:3 OT
  • 25.10Grizzly Wolfsburg1:2 SO
  • 23.10away · Adler Mannheim0:3
  • 18.10Iserlohn Roosters4:1

Head to head

  • 16.10.2026Frankfurt Lowen — Straubing Tigers1:4
  • 23.01.2026Straubing Tigers — Frankfurt Lowen5:4
  • 14.12.2025Frankfurt Lowen — Straubing Tigers3:7
  • 30.11.2025Frankfurt Lowen — Straubing Tigers1:3
  • 14.09.2025Straubing Tigers — Frankfurt Lowen2:1

Full record: 15 meetings →

Table

Table «Overall», season 2026/27
#TeamPWOTWOTLLGoals+/−Pts
4, Playoffs: straight to the quarter-finalsMunchen14811442–42027
5, Playoffs: straight to the quarter-finalsStraubing Tigers14810552–41+1126
6, Playoffs: straight to the quarter-finalsKolner15623457–53+425
9, Play-in round for the quarter-finalsBremerhaven14601732–37-519
10, Play-in round for the quarter-finalsFrankfurt Lowen14413632–33-117
11Krefeld Pinguine15502838–45-717

Season 2026/27 · 3 points for a regulation win, 2 for an overtime or shootout win, 1 for an overtime or shootout loss

Full table

DEL on the same day

This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 56% will not happen in roughly 44 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →