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DEL (German hockey league) · Sunday, 15 November, (UTC+3)

Kolner — Grizzly Wolfsburg

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Model prediction for 15 November

Kolner56%
Draw in regulation20%
Grizzly Wolfsburg25%
Model estimate at (UTC+3)

Preliminary forecast: the match is more than a week away. Closer to it the model takes in fresh form, injuries and line-ups, and the numbers may move.

In short

Kolner are clear favourites: 67% to win including overtime and shootout.

5.8 goals expected in total — close to the competition average (6.0).

Over 5.5 goals in regulation — 57%.

Why

  • Kolner are more dangerous in attack: 3.4 expected goals against 2.4.

Facts

  • League table: Kolner — No. 6, 25 pts; Grizzly Wolfsburg — No. 12, 17 pts. A gap of 8 pts.
  • Last 5 meetings: Kolner 3 wins, Grizzly Wolfsburg 2.

Probabilities

Expected goals: Kolner — Grizzly Wolfsburg3.4–2.4
Kolner to win (incl. OT and shootout)67%
Grizzly Wolfsburg to win (incl. OT and shootout)33%
Total over 5.5 (regulation)57%
Total under 5.5 (regulation)43%

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All totals and handicaps, team totals, the score grid, every factor and how the estimate moved before kick-off.

  • All totals
  • Totals incl. OT
  • Handicap Kolner
  • Kolner goals
  • Overtime chance
  • Full score grid
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Form

Kolner

  • 01.11Iserlohn Roosters3:2 SO
  • 30.10away · Krefeld Pinguine4:0
  • 27.10Adler Mannheim5:6 OT
  • 23.10away · Straubing Tigers5:3
  • 20.10Schwenninger2:3 OT

Grizzly Wolfsburg

  • 01.11Augsburger Panther0:4
  • 30.10away · Nurnberg Ice Tigers1:8
  • 25.10away · Frankfurt Lowen2:1 SO
  • 23.10ERC Ingolstadt1:4
  • 20.10away · ERC Ingolstadt2:3

Head to head

  • 18.09.2026Kolner — Grizzly Wolfsburg4:8
  • 13.03.2026Grizzly Wolfsburg — Kolner8:5
  • 18.12.2025Kolner — Grizzly Wolfsburg4:1
  • 14.11.2025Grizzly Wolfsburg — Kolner3:4
  • 28.09.2025Kolner — Grizzly Wolfsburg4:2

Full record: 13 meetings →

Table

Table «Overall», season 2026/27
#TeamPWOTWOTLLGoals+/−Pts
5, Playoffs: straight to the quarter-finalsStraubing Tigers14810552–41+1126
6, Playoffs: straight to the quarter-finalsKolner15623457–53+425
7, Play-in round for the quarter-finalsERC Ingolstadt15521745–53-820
11Krefeld Pinguine15502838–45-717
12Grizzly Wolfsburg15332736–51-1517
13Schwenninger16331937–60-2316

Season 2026/27 · 3 points for a regulation win, 2 for an overtime or shootout win, 1 for an overtime or shootout loss

Full table

DEL on the same day

This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 56% will not happen in roughly 44 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →