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DEL (German hockey league) · Sunday, 15 November, (UTC+3)

Munchen — Krefeld Pinguine

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Model prediction for 15 November

Munchen56%
Draw in regulation20%
Krefeld Pinguine25%
Model estimate at (UTC+3)

Preliminary forecast: the match is more than a week away. Closer to it the model takes in fresh form, injuries and line-ups, and the numbers may move.

In short

Munchen are clear favourites: 67% to win including overtime and shootout.

5.8 goals expected in total — close to the competition average (6.0).

Over 5.5 goals in regulation — 57%.

Why

  • Munchen are more dangerous in attack: 3.4 expected goals against 2.4.

Facts

  • League table: Munchen — No. 4, 27 pts; Krefeld Pinguine — No. 11, 17 pts. A gap of 10 pts.

Probabilities

Expected goals: Munchen — Krefeld Pinguine3.4–2.4
Munchen to win (incl. OT and shootout)67%
Krefeld Pinguine to win (incl. OT and shootout)33%
Total over 5.5 (regulation)57%
Total under 5.5 (regulation)43%

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Form

Munchen

  • 01.11Nurnberg Ice Tigers2:1
  • 30.10away · Straubing Tigers2:4
  • 25.10away · Krefeld Pinguine4:2
  • 23.10Iserlohn Roosters3:2
  • 18.10away · Nurnberg Ice Tigers2:6

Krefeld Pinguine

  • 01.11away · Schwenninger3:4 OT
  • 30.10Kolner0:4
  • 28.10Schwenninger6:0
  • 25.10Munchen2:4
  • 23.10away · Nurnberg Ice Tigers2:7

Head to head

  • 25.10.2026Krefeld Pinguine — Munchen2:4

Table

Table «Overall», season 2026/27
#TeamPWOTWOTLLGoals+/−Pts
3, Playoffs: straight to the quarter-finalsNurnberg Ice Tigers15901556–34+2228
4, Playoffs: straight to the quarter-finalsMunchen14811442–42027
5, Playoffs: straight to the quarter-finalsStraubing Tigers14810552–41+1126
10, Play-in round for the quarter-finalsFrankfurt Lowen14413632–33-117
11Krefeld Pinguine15502838–45-717
12Grizzly Wolfsburg15332736–51-1517

Season 2026/27 · 3 points for a regulation win, 2 for an overtime or shootout win, 1 for an overtime or shootout loss

Full table

DEL on the same day

This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 56% will not happen in roughly 44 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →