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Swiss National League (hockey) · Saturday, 14 November, (UTC+3)

Ajoie — Davos

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Model prediction for 14 November

Ajoie34%
Draw in regulation22%
Davos44%
Model estimate at (UTC+3)

Preliminary forecast: the match is more than a week away. Closer to it the model takes in fresh form, injuries and line-ups, and the numbers may move.

In short

Davos are favourites: 56% to win including overtime and shootout.

5.2 goals expected in total — close to the competition average (5.4).

Over 5.5 goals in regulation — 47%.

Why

  • Davos are more dangerous in attack: 2.8 expected goals against 2.4.

Facts

  • League table: Ajoie — No. 9, 25 pts; Davos — No. 10, 24 pts. A gap of 1 pt.
  • Last 5 meetings: Ajoie 0 wins, Davos 5.

Probabilities

Expected goals: Ajoie — Davos2.4–2.8
Ajoie to win (incl. OT and shootout)44%
Davos to win (incl. OT and shootout)56%
Total over 5.5 (regulation)47%
Total under 5.5 (regulation)53%

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All totals and handicaps, team totals, the score grid, every factor and how the estimate moved before kick-off.

  • All totals
  • Totals incl. OT
  • Handicap Ajoie
  • Ajoie goals
  • Overtime chance
  • Full score grid
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Form

Ajoie

  • 31.10away · Rapperswil-Jona4:2
  • 30.10Bern1:4
  • 27.10away · EHC Kloten4:7
  • 24.10away · Ambri-Piotta0:3
  • 23.10Servette5:0

Davos

  • 31.10away · Lausanne2:3 OT
  • 30.10Rapperswil-Jona4:3 SO
  • 27.10away · Fribourg1:3
  • 24.10away · Langnau Tigers3:2 OT
  • 23.10Bern1:4

Head to head

  • 02.10.2026Davos — Ajoie3:1
  • 17.01.2026Ajoie — Davos2:5
  • 25.11.2025Davos — Ajoie8:0
  • 24.10.2025Ajoie — Davos2:4
  • 14.09.2025Davos — Ajoie6:0

Full record: 13 meetings →

Table

Table «Overall», season 2026/27
#TeamPWOTWOTLLGoals+/−Pts
8, Play-in round for the quarter-finalsLausanne207211059–69-1026
9, Play-in round for the quarter-finalsAjoie19542858–64-625
10, Play-in round for the quarter-finalsDavos19622945–55-1024
11Biel18702957–60-323

Season 2026/27 · 3 points for a regulation win, 2 for an overtime or shootout win, 1 for an overtime or shootout loss

Full table

National League on the same day

  • FribourgEHC Klotenpreliminary
    1The model's most likely outcome: 121%Model's score: 3:14.6
  • Langnau TigersBielpreliminary
    1The model's most likely outcome: 121%Model's score: 4:25.7
  • Rapperswil-JonaLuganopreliminary
    2The model's most likely outcome: 222%Model's score: 2:35.3
  • ServetteBernpreliminary
    2The model's most likely outcome: 223%Model's score: 1:24.6
  • ZurichZugpreliminary
    1The model's most likely outcome: 122%Model's score: 4:25.0

This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 44% will not happen in roughly 56 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →