Fribourg — EHC Kloten
☆ Save matchModel prediction for 14 November
Preliminary forecast: the match is more than a week away. Closer to it the model takes in fresh form, injuries and line-ups, and the numbers may move.
In short
Fribourg are clear favourites: 67% to win including overtime and shootout.
The model expects few goals: 4.6 in total, against a competition average of 5.4.
Over 5.5 goals in regulation — 36%.
Why
- Fribourg are more dangerous in attack: 2.7 expected goals against 1.9.
Facts
- League table: Fribourg — No. 7, 27 pts; EHC Kloten — No. 14, 18 pts. A gap of 9 pts.
- Last 5 meetings: Fribourg 3 wins, EHC Kloten 2.
Probabilities
| Expected goals: Fribourg — EHC Kloten | 2.7–1.9 | |
| Fribourg to win (incl. OT and shootout) | 67% | |
| EHC Kloten to win (incl. OT and shootout) | 33% | |
| Total over 5.5 (regulation) | 36% | |
| Total under 5.5 (regulation) | 64% |
111 more model lines in Premium
All totals and handicaps, team totals, the score grid, every factor and how the estimate moved before kick-off.
- All totals
- Totals incl. OT
- Handicap Fribourg
- Fribourg goals
- Overtime chance
- Full score grid
Form
- 30.10Servette0:1
- 28.10away · Langnau Tigers2:4
- 27.10Davos3:1
- 24.10away · Lausanne0:2
- 23.10Biel6:3
- 31.10Zurich0:4
- 30.10away · Biel2:4
- 27.10Ajoie7:4
- 24.10Rapperswil-Jona1:2
- 23.10away · Lugano5:2
Head to head
- 02.10.2026EHC Kloten — Fribourg1:4
- 30.01.2026Fribourg — EHC Kloten3:2 OT
- 23.12.2025EHC Kloten — Fribourg4:3
- 28.10.2025EHC Kloten — Fribourg4:2
- 09.10.2025Fribourg — EHC Kloten4:3 SO
Table
| # | Team | P | W | +/− | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6, Playoffs: straight to the quarter-finals | Bern | 17 | 7 | -1 | 28 |
| 7, Play-in round for the quarter-finals | Fribourg | 18 | 7 | +13 | 27 |
| 8, Play-in round for the quarter-finals | Lausanne | 20 | 7 | -10 | 26 |
| 13, Relegation play-off | Rapperswil-Jona | 19 | 4 | -19 | 19 |
| 14, Relegation play-off | EHC Kloten | 19 | 5 | -25 | 18 |
National League on the same day
- AjoieDavospreliminary44562The model's most likely outcome: 222%Model's score: 2:35.2
- Langnau TigersBielpreliminary58421The model's most likely outcome: 121%Model's score: 4:25.7
- Rapperswil-JonaLuganopreliminary47532The model's most likely outcome: 222%Model's score: 2:35.3
- ServetteBernpreliminary49512The model's most likely outcome: 223%Model's score: 1:24.6
- ZurichZugpreliminary58421The model's most likely outcome: 122%Model's score: 4:25.0
This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 54% will not happen in roughly 46 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →