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Swiss National League (hockey) · Saturday, 14 November, (UTC+3)

Fribourg — EHC Kloten

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Model prediction for 14 November

Fribourg54%
Draw in regulation21%
EHC Kloten24%
Model estimate at (UTC+3)

Preliminary forecast: the match is more than a week away. Closer to it the model takes in fresh form, injuries and line-ups, and the numbers may move.

In short

Fribourg are clear favourites: 67% to win including overtime and shootout.

The model expects few goals: 4.6 in total, against a competition average of 5.4.

Over 5.5 goals in regulation — 36%.

Why

  • Fribourg are more dangerous in attack: 2.7 expected goals against 1.9.

Facts

  • League table: Fribourg — No. 7, 27 pts; EHC Kloten — No. 14, 18 pts. A gap of 9 pts.
  • Last 5 meetings: Fribourg 3 wins, EHC Kloten 2.

Probabilities

Expected goals: Fribourg — EHC Kloten2.7–1.9
Fribourg to win (incl. OT and shootout)67%
EHC Kloten to win (incl. OT and shootout)33%
Total over 5.5 (regulation)36%
Total under 5.5 (regulation)64%

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All totals and handicaps, team totals, the score grid, every factor and how the estimate moved before kick-off.

  • All totals
  • Totals incl. OT
  • Handicap Fribourg
  • Fribourg goals
  • Overtime chance
  • Full score grid
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Form

Fribourg

  • 30.10Servette0:1
  • 28.10away · Langnau Tigers2:4
  • 27.10Davos3:1
  • 24.10away · Lausanne0:2
  • 23.10Biel6:3

EHC Kloten

  • 31.10Zurich0:4
  • 30.10away · Biel2:4
  • 27.10Ajoie7:4
  • 24.10Rapperswil-Jona1:2
  • 23.10away · Lugano5:2

Head to head

  • 02.10.2026EHC Kloten — Fribourg1:4
  • 30.01.2026Fribourg — EHC Kloten3:2 OT
  • 23.12.2025EHC Kloten — Fribourg4:3
  • 28.10.2025EHC Kloten — Fribourg4:2
  • 09.10.2025Fribourg — EHC Kloten4:3 SO

Full record: 13 meetings →

Table

Table «Overall», season 2026/27
#TeamPWOTWOTLLGoals+/−Pts
6, Playoffs: straight to the quarter-finalsBern17723546–47-128
7, Play-in round for the quarter-finalsFribourg18722757–44+1327
8, Play-in round for the quarter-finalsLausanne207211059–69-1026
13, Relegation play-offRapperswil-Jona194231050–69-1919
14, Relegation play-offEHC Kloten195111244–69-2518

Season 2026/27 · 3 points for a regulation win, 2 for an overtime or shootout win, 1 for an overtime or shootout loss

Full table

National League on the same day

  • AjoieDavospreliminary
    2The model's most likely outcome: 222%Model's score: 2:35.2
  • 1The model's most likely outcome: 121%Model's score: 4:25.7
  • 2The model's most likely outcome: 222%Model's score: 2:35.3
  • ServetteBernpreliminary
    2The model's most likely outcome: 223%Model's score: 1:24.6
  • ZurichZugpreliminary
    1The model's most likely outcome: 122%Model's score: 4:25.0

This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 54% will not happen in roughly 46 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →