PremiumTelegram
EN
Sections

Accounts and Premium are not available in your country; every forecast is open. New forecasts every day — in our Telegram channel.

Swiss National League (hockey) · Saturday, 14 November, (UTC+3)

Rapperswil-Jona — Lugano

☆ Save match

Model prediction for 14 November

Rapperswil-Jona37%
Draw in regulation22%
Lugano41%
Model estimate at (UTC+3)

Preliminary forecast: the match is more than a week away. Closer to it the model takes in fresh form, injuries and line-ups, and the numbers may move.

In short

Close to a coin flip: Rapperswil-Jona 47%, Lugano 53% including overtime.

5.3 goals expected in total — close to the competition average (5.4).

Over 5.5 goals in regulation — 49%.

Why

  • The teams are almost level on expected goals: 2.6 and 2.7.

Facts

  • League table: Rapperswil-Jona — No. 13, 19 pts; Lugano — No. 12, 22 pts. A gap of 3 pts.
  • Rapperswil-Jona: 3 defeats in a row.
  • Last 5 meetings: Rapperswil-Jona 1 win, Lugano 4.

Probabilities

Expected goals: Rapperswil-Jona — Lugano2.6–2.7
Rapperswil-Jona to win (incl. OT and shootout)47%
Lugano to win (incl. OT and shootout)53%
Total over 5.5 (regulation)49%
Total under 5.5 (regulation)51%

111 more model lines in Premium

All totals and handicaps, team totals, the score grid, every factor and how the estimate moved before kick-off.

  • All totals
  • Totals incl. OT
  • Handicap Rapperswil-Jona
  • Rapperswil-Jona goals
  • Overtime chance
  • Full score grid
Get Premiumfrom $5.99 a month

Form

Rapperswil-Jona

  • 31.10Ajoie2:4
  • 30.10away · Davos3:4 SO
  • 27.10Servette1:2 OT
  • 24.10away · EHC Kloten2:1
  • 23.10Ambri-Piotta6:3

Lugano

  • 31.10away · Ambri-Piotta3:4
  • 29.10Lausanne4:0
  • 27.10away · Zug2:7
  • 25.10away · Bern1:2 OT
  • 23.10EHC Kloten2:5

Head to head

  • 02.10.2026Lugano — Rapperswil-Jona5:2
  • 27.01.2026Lugano — Rapperswil-Jona7:3
  • 30.11.2025Rapperswil-Jona — Lugano3:2 SO
  • 25.10.2025Lugano — Rapperswil-Jona3:0
  • 27.09.2025Rapperswil-Jona — Lugano1:4

Full record: 13 meetings →

Table

Table «Overall», season 2026/27
#TeamPWOTWOTLLGoals+/−Pts
11Biel18702957–60-323
12Lugano18612956–62-622
13, Relegation play-offRapperswil-Jona194231050–69-1919
14, Relegation play-offEHC Kloten195111244–69-2518

Season 2026/27 · 3 points for a regulation win, 2 for an overtime or shootout win, 1 for an overtime or shootout loss

Full table

National League on the same day

  • AjoieDavospreliminary
    2The model's most likely outcome: 222%Model's score: 2:35.2
  • FribourgEHC Klotenpreliminary
    1The model's most likely outcome: 121%Model's score: 3:14.6
  • Langnau TigersBielpreliminary
    1The model's most likely outcome: 121%Model's score: 4:25.7
  • ServetteBernpreliminary
    2The model's most likely outcome: 223%Model's score: 1:24.6
  • ZurichZugpreliminary
    1The model's most likely outcome: 122%Model's score: 4:25.0

This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 41% will not happen in roughly 59 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →