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Swiss National League (hockey) · Saturday, 14 November, (UTC+3)

Servette — Bern

☆ Save match

Model prediction for 14 November

Servette38%
Draw in regulation23%
Bern39%
Model estimate at (UTC+3)

Preliminary forecast: the match is more than a week away. Closer to it the model takes in fresh form, injuries and line-ups, and the numbers may move.

In short

Close to a coin flip: Servette 49%, Bern 51% including overtime.

The model expects few goals: 4.6 in total, against a competition average of 5.4.

Over 5.5 goals in regulation — 36%.

Why

  • The teams are almost level on expected goals: 2.3 and 2.3.

Facts

  • League table: Servette — No. 3, 32 pts; Bern — No. 6, 28 pts. A gap of 4 pts.
  • Servette: 3 wins in a row.
  • Last 5 meetings: Servette 4 wins, Bern 1.

Probabilities

Expected goals: Servette — Bern2.3–2.3
Servette to win (incl. OT and shootout)49%
Bern to win (incl. OT and shootout)51%
Total over 5.5 (regulation)36%
Total under 5.5 (regulation)64%

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All totals and handicaps, team totals, the score grid, every factor and how the estimate moved before kick-off.

  • All totals
  • Totals incl. OT
  • Handicap Servette
  • Servette goals
  • Overtime chance
  • Full score grid
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Form

Servette

  • 31.10Biel3:2
  • 30.10away · Fribourg1:0
  • 27.10away · Rapperswil-Jona2:1 OT
  • 25.10Zurich1:5
  • 23.10away · Ajoie0:5

Bern

  • 31.10Zug1:8
  • 30.10away · Ajoie4:1
  • 27.10Zurich1:4
  • 25.10Lugano2:1 OT
  • 23.10away · Davos4:1

Head to head

  • 02.10.2026Bern — Servette2:3 SO
  • 27.02.2026Servette — Bern4:3 OT
  • 03.01.2026Bern — Servette0:3
  • 18.10.2025Servette — Bern2:1 OT
  • 12.09.2025Bern — Servette2:1 SO

Full record: 13 meetings →

Table

Table «Overall», season 2026/27
#TeamPWOTWOTLLGoals+/−Pts
2, Playoffs: straight to the quarter-finalsAmbri-Piotta18922557–53+433
3, Playoffs: straight to the quarter-finalsServette19832649–55-632
4, Playoffs: straight to the quarter-finalsLangnau Tigers19813766–56+1029
5, Playoffs: straight to the quarter-finalsZug13901349–27+2228
6, Playoffs: straight to the quarter-finalsBern17723546–47-128
7, Play-in round for the quarter-finalsFribourg18722757–44+1327

Season 2026/27 · 3 points for a regulation win, 2 for an overtime or shootout win, 1 for an overtime or shootout loss

Full table

National League on the same day

  • AjoieDavospreliminary
    2The model's most likely outcome: 222%Model's score: 2:35.2
  • FribourgEHC Klotenpreliminary
    1The model's most likely outcome: 121%Model's score: 3:14.6
  • Langnau TigersBielpreliminary
    1The model's most likely outcome: 121%Model's score: 4:25.7
  • Rapperswil-JonaLuganopreliminary
    2The model's most likely outcome: 222%Model's score: 2:35.3
  • ZurichZugpreliminary
    1The model's most likely outcome: 122%Model's score: 4:25.0

This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 39% will not happen in roughly 61 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →