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VHL (All-Russian Hockey League) · Thursday, 5 November, (UTC+3)

AKM — Almetyevsk

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Model prediction for 5 November

AKM31%
Draw in regulation22%
Almetyevsk47%
Model estimate at (UTC+3)

Preliminary forecast: the match is more than a week away. Closer to it the model takes in fresh form, injuries and line-ups, and the numbers may move.

In short

Almetyevsk are favourites: 59% to win including overtime and shootout.

The model expects plenty of goals: 5.1 in total, against a competition average of 4.7.

Over 5.5 goals in regulation — 46%.

Why

  • Almetyevsk are more dangerous in attack: 2.8 expected goals against 2.3.

Facts

  • League table: AKM — No. 3, 21 pts; Almetyevsk — No. 1, 24 pts. A gap of 3 pts.
  • Last 5 meetings: AKM 3 wins, Almetyevsk 2.

Probabilities

Expected goals: AKM — Almetyevsk2.3–2.8
AKM to win (incl. OT and shootout)41%
Almetyevsk to win (incl. OT and shootout)59%
Total over 5.5 (regulation)46%
Total under 5.5 (regulation)54%

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All totals and handicaps, team totals, the score grid, every factor and how the estimate moved before kick-off.

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  • Totals incl. OT
  • Handicap AKM
  • AKM goals
  • Overtime chance
  • Full score grid
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Form

AKM

  • 14.10Chelmet Chelyabinsk4:2
  • 12.10Magnitka Magnitogorsk2:3
  • 10.10Orsk3:0
  • 05.10away · Perm0:3
  • 03.10away · Toros Neftekamsk3:0

Almetyevsk

  • 14.10SKA-VMF St. Petersburg2:1 SO
  • 12.10Dinamo St. Petersburg3:2
  • 10.10Zvezda Moscow3:5
  • 08.10Khimik3:2
  • 04.10away · Gornyak2:1 SO

Head to head

  • 28.01.2026Almetyevsk — AKM2:1
  • 27.10.2025AKM — Almetyevsk4:3 SO
  • 07.02.2025AKM — Almetyevsk5:2
  • 14.10.2024Almetyevsk — AKM2:4
  • 23.04.2024Almetyevsk — AKM3:2 OT

Full record: 10 meetings →

Table

Table «Overall», season 2026/27
#TeamPWOTLLGoals+/−Pts
1, PlayoffsAlmetyevsk16120446–31+1524
2, PlayoffsBuran Voronezh14102231–22+922
3, PlayoffsAKM1593347–34+1321
4, PlayoffsKaluga1493232–20+1221

Season 2026/27 · 2 points for a win, 1 for an overtime or shootout loss

Full table

VHL on the same day

  • HC NorilskSKA-VMF St. Petersburgpreliminary
    2The model's most likely outcome: 223%Model's score: 1:24.5
  • HC YugraOrskpreliminary
    1The model's most likely outcome: 120%Model's score: 3:13.7
  • DizelIzhevskpreliminary
    1The model's most likely outcome: 123%Model's score: 3:14.3
  • RyazanCSK VVSpreliminary
    1The model's most likely outcome: 123%Model's score: 3:14.4

This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 47% will not happen in roughly 53 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →