Almaty — Torpedo
☆ Save matchModel prediction for 19 October
In short
Torpedo are clear favourites: 84% to win including overtime and shootout.
The model expects few goals: 5.5 in total, against a competition average of 6.1.
Over 5.5 goals in regulation — 52%.
Why
- Torpedo are more dangerous in attack: 3.8 expected goals against 1.7.
Probabilities
| Expected goals: Almaty — Torpedo | 1.7–3.8 | |
| Almaty to win (incl. OT and shootout) | 16% | |
| Torpedo to win (incl. OT and shootout) | 84% | |
| Total over 5.5 (regulation) | 52% | |
| Total under 5.5 (regulation) | 48% |
111 more model lines in Premium
All totals and handicaps, team totals, the score grid, every factor and how the estimate moved before kick-off.
- All totals
- Totals incl. OT
- Handicap Almaty
- Almaty goals
- Overtime chance
- Full score grid
Form
- 12.10Gornyak Rudny5:2
- 11.10Gornyak Rudny0:3
- 07.10away · Beibarys Atyrau3:5
- 06.10away · Beibarys Atyrau4:1
- 03.10away · Kokshetau2:3
- 12.10Pavlodar8:0
- 11.10Pavlodar13:0
- 07.10Nomad Astana2:3 SO
- 06.10Nomad Astana2:3 OT
- 02.10away · Beibarys Atyrau9:2
Head to head
- 03.09.2026Torpedo — Almaty3:2
- 02.09.2026Torpedo — Almaty9:0
- 07.02.2026Torpedo — Almaty6:0
- 06.02.2026Torpedo — Almaty4:2
- 02.11.2025Almaty — Torpedo1:3
Table
Kazakhstan Championship on the same day
- 70301The model's most likely outcome: 119%Model's score: 4:26.0
This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 73% will not happen in roughly 27 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →