Kazakhstan Hockey Championship · Monday, 19 October, MSK

Almaty — Torpedo

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Model prediction for 19 October

Almaty12%
Draw in regulation15%
Torpedo73%
Model estimate at MSK

In short

Torpedo are clear favourites: 84% to win including overtime and shootout.

The model expects few goals: 5.5 in total, against a competition average of 6.1.

Over 5.5 goals in regulation — 52%.

Why

  • Torpedo are more dangerous in attack: 3.8 expected goals against 1.7.

Probabilities

Expected goals: Almaty — Torpedo1.7–3.8
Almaty to win (incl. OT and shootout)16%
Torpedo to win (incl. OT and shootout)84%
Total over 5.5 (regulation)52%
Total under 5.5 (regulation)48%

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All totals and handicaps, team totals, the score grid, every factor and how the estimate moved before kick-off.

  • All totals
  • Totals incl. OT
  • Handicap Almaty
  • Almaty goals
  • Overtime chance
  • Full score grid
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Form

Almaty

  • 12.10Gornyak Rudny5:2
  • 11.10Gornyak Rudny0:3
  • 07.10away · Beibarys Atyrau3:5
  • 06.10away · Beibarys Atyrau4:1
  • 03.10away · Kokshetau2:3

Torpedo

  • 12.10Pavlodar8:0
  • 11.10Pavlodar13:0
  • 07.10Nomad Astana2:3 SO
  • 06.10Nomad Astana2:3 OT
  • 02.10away · Beibarys Atyrau9:2

Head to head

  • 03.09.2026Torpedo — Almaty3:2
  • 02.09.2026Torpedo — Almaty9:0
  • 07.02.2026Torpedo — Almaty6:0
  • 06.02.2026Torpedo — Almaty4:2
  • 02.11.2025Almaty — Torpedo1:3

Full record: 17 meetings →

Table

Table «Overall», season 2026/27
#TeamPWOTLLGoals+/−Pts
1, PlayoffsNomad Astana18162083–36+4734
2, PlayoffsTorpedo18132388–36+5228
3, PlayoffsKokshetau18131464–43+2127
6, PlayoffsKulager1894564–52+1222
7, PlayoffsAlmaty1890949–57-818
8, PlayoffsAktobe18411345–83-389

Season 2026/27 · 2 points for a win, 1 for an overtime or shootout loss

Full table

Kazakhstan Championship on the same day

This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 73% will not happen in roughly 27 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →