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DEL (German hockey league) · Friday, 20 November, (UTC+3)

Augsburger Panther — Nurnberg Ice Tigers

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Model prediction for 20 November

Augsburger Panther36%
Draw in regulation21%
Nurnberg Ice Tigers43%
Model estimate at (UTC+3)

Preliminary forecast: the match is more than a week away. Closer to it the model takes in fresh form, injuries and line-ups, and the numbers may move.

In short

Nurnberg Ice Tigers are favourites: 54% to win including overtime and shootout.

5.7 goals expected in total — close to the competition average (6.0).

Over 5.5 goals in regulation — 55%.

Why

  • The teams are almost level on expected goals: 2.7 and 3.0.

Facts

  • League table: Augsburger Panther — No. 8, 19 pts; Nurnberg Ice Tigers — No. 3, 28 pts. A gap of 9 pts.
  • Last 5 meetings: Augsburger Panther 0 wins, Nurnberg Ice Tigers 5.

Probabilities

Expected goals: Augsburger Panther — Nurnberg Ice Tigers2.7–3.0
Augsburger Panther to win (incl. OT and shootout)46%
Nurnberg Ice Tigers to win (incl. OT and shootout)54%
Total over 5.5 (regulation)55%
Total under 5.5 (regulation)45%

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Form

Augsburger Panther

  • 01.11away · Grizzly Wolfsburg4:0
  • 29.10Frankfurt Lowen3:2 OT
  • 25.10Straubing Tigers2:4
  • 23.10away · Eisbaren Berlin1:2
  • 18.10away · ERC Ingolstadt3:6

Nurnberg Ice Tigers

  • 01.11away · Munchen1:2
  • 30.10Grizzly Wolfsburg8:1
  • 25.10away · Iserlohn Roosters4:2
  • 23.10Krefeld Pinguine7:2
  • 18.10Munchen6:2

Head to head

  • 18.09.2026Nurnberg Ice Tigers — Augsburger Panther4:1
  • 23.01.2026Nurnberg Ice Tigers — Augsburger Panther3:1
  • 23.12.2025Augsburger Panther — Nurnberg Ice Tigers2:3 OT
  • 28.11.2025Augsburger Panther — Nurnberg Ice Tigers1:5
  • 12.09.2025Nurnberg Ice Tigers — Augsburger Panther3:1

Full record: 13 meetings →

Table

Table «Overall», season 2026/27
#TeamPWOTWOTLLGoals+/−Pts
2, Playoffs: straight to the quarter-finalsAdler Mannheim15822353–38+1530
3, Playoffs: straight to the quarter-finalsNurnberg Ice Tigers15901556–34+2228
4, Playoffs: straight to the quarter-finalsMunchen14811442–42027
7, Play-in round for the quarter-finalsERC Ingolstadt15521745–53-820
8, Play-in round for the quarter-finalsAugsburger Panther14520743–42+119
9, Play-in round for the quarter-finalsBremerhaven14601732–37-519

Season 2026/27 · 3 points for a regulation win, 2 for an overtime or shootout win, 1 for an overtime or shootout loss

Full table

DEL on the same day

This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 43% will not happen in roughly 57 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →