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DEL (German hockey league) · Friday, 20 November, (UTC+3)

Munchen — Kolner

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Model prediction for 20 November

Munchen50%
Draw in regulation20%
Kolner30%
Model estimate at (UTC+3)

Preliminary forecast: the match is more than a week away. Closer to it the model takes in fresh form, injuries and line-ups, and the numbers may move.

In short

Munchen are favourites: 61% to win including overtime and shootout.

6.1 goals expected in total — close to the competition average (6.0).

Over 5.5 goals in regulation — 62%.

Why

  • Munchen are more dangerous in attack: 3.4 expected goals against 2.8.

Facts

  • League table: Munchen — No. 4, 27 pts; Kolner — No. 6, 25 pts. A gap of 2 pts.
  • Last 5 meetings: Munchen 4 wins, Kolner 1.

Probabilities

Expected goals: Munchen — Kolner3.4–2.8
Munchen to win (incl. OT and shootout)61%
Kolner to win (incl. OT and shootout)39%
Total over 5.5 (regulation)62%
Total under 5.5 (regulation)38%

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All totals and handicaps, team totals, the score grid, every factor and how the estimate moved before kick-off.

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  • Totals incl. OT
  • Handicap Munchen
  • Munchen goals
  • Overtime chance
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Form

Munchen

  • 01.11Nurnberg Ice Tigers2:1
  • 30.10away · Straubing Tigers2:4
  • 25.10away · Krefeld Pinguine4:2
  • 23.10Iserlohn Roosters3:2
  • 18.10away · Nurnberg Ice Tigers2:6

Kolner

  • 01.11Iserlohn Roosters3:2 SO
  • 30.10away · Krefeld Pinguine4:0
  • 27.10Adler Mannheim5:6 OT
  • 23.10away · Straubing Tigers5:3
  • 20.10Schwenninger2:3 OT

Head to head

  • 02.10.2026Kolner — Munchen2:4
  • 01.03.2026Munchen — Kolner0:1
  • 10.12.2025Munchen — Kolner2:1 OT
  • 02.11.2025Kolner — Munchen0:2
  • 12.09.2025Kolner — Munchen2:4

Full record: 13 meetings →

Table

Table «Overall», season 2026/27
#TeamPWOTWOTLLGoals+/−Pts
3, Playoffs: straight to the quarter-finalsNurnberg Ice Tigers15901556–34+2228
4, Playoffs: straight to the quarter-finalsMunchen14811442–42027
5, Playoffs: straight to the quarter-finalsStraubing Tigers14810552–41+1126
6, Playoffs: straight to the quarter-finalsKolner15623457–53+425
7, Play-in round for the quarter-finalsERC Ingolstadt15521745–53-820

Season 2026/27 · 3 points for a regulation win, 2 for an overtime or shootout win, 1 for an overtime or shootout loss

Full table

DEL on the same day

This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 50% will not happen in roughly 50 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →