DEL (German hockey league) · Friday, 20 November, (UTC+3)
Eisbaren Berlin — ERC Ingolstadt
☆ Save matchModel prediction for 20 November
Preliminary forecast: the match is more than a week away. Closer to it the model takes in fresh form, injuries and line-ups, and the numbers may move.
In short
Eisbaren Berlin are clear favourites: 64% to win including overtime and shootout.
5.7 goals expected in total — close to the competition average (6.0).
Over 5.5 goals in regulation — 55%.
Why
- Eisbaren Berlin are more dangerous in attack: 3.2 expected goals against 2.5.
Facts
- League table: Eisbaren Berlin — No. 1, 32 pts; ERC Ingolstadt — No. 7, 20 pts. A gap of 12 pts.
- ERC Ingolstadt: 3 defeats in a row.
- Last 5 meetings: Eisbaren Berlin 3 wins, ERC Ingolstadt 2.
Probabilities
| Expected goals: Eisbaren Berlin — ERC Ingolstadt | 3.2–2.5 | |
| Eisbaren Berlin to win (incl. OT and shootout) | 64% | |
| ERC Ingolstadt to win (incl. OT and shootout) | 36% | |
| Total over 5.5 (regulation) | 55% | |
| Total under 5.5 (regulation) | 45% |
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All totals and handicaps, team totals, the score grid, every factor and how the estimate moved before kick-off.
- All totals
- Totals incl. OT
- Handicap Eisbaren Berlin
- Eisbaren Berlin goals
- Overtime chance
- Full score grid
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Form
- 01.11Adler Mannheim1:3
- 30.10away · ERC Ingolstadt5:3
- 25.10away · Schwenninger4:1
- 23.10Augsburger Panther2:1
- 18.10away · Krefeld Pinguine4:0
- 01.11away · Frankfurt Lowen2:5
- 30.10Eisbaren Berlin3:5
- 25.10away · Bremerhaven2:6
- 23.10away · Grizzly Wolfsburg4:1
- 20.10Grizzly Wolfsburg3:2
Head to head
- 30.10.2026ERC Ingolstadt — Eisbaren Berlin3:5
- 23.01.2026Eisbaren Berlin — ERC Ingolstadt2:1
- 18.12.2025ERC Ingolstadt — Eisbaren Berlin8:5
- 26.11.2025ERC Ingolstadt — Eisbaren Berlin5:2
- 05.10.2025Eisbaren Berlin — ERC Ingolstadt3:0
Table
| # | Team | P | W | +/− | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1, Playoffs: straight to the quarter-finals | Eisbaren Berlin | 14 | 10 | +26 | 32 |
| 2, Playoffs: straight to the quarter-finals | Adler Mannheim | 15 | 8 | +15 | 30 |
| 6, Playoffs: straight to the quarter-finals | Kolner | 15 | 6 | +4 | 25 |
| 7, Play-in round for the quarter-finals | ERC Ingolstadt | 15 | 5 | -8 | 20 |
| 8, Play-in round for the quarter-finals | Augsburger Panther | 14 | 5 | +1 | 19 |
DEL on the same day
- Augsburger PantherNurnberg Ice Tigerspreliminary46542The model's most likely outcome: 221%Model's score: 2:35.7
- BremerhavenAdler Mannheimpreliminary44562The model's most likely outcome: 222%Model's score: 2:35.1
- Frankfurt LowenSchwenningerpreliminary55451The model's most likely outcome: 122%Model's score: 4:25.0
- Grizzly WolfsburgIserlohn Roosterspreliminary52481The model's most likely outcome: 122%Model's score: 3:25.1
- MunchenKolnerpreliminary61391The model's most likely outcome: 120%Model's score: 4:26.1
This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 52% will not happen in roughly 48 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →