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DEL (German hockey league) · Friday, 20 November, (UTC+3)

Frankfurt Lowen — Schwenninger

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Model prediction for 20 November

Frankfurt Lowen43%
Draw in regulation22%
Schwenninger34%
Model estimate at (UTC+3)

Preliminary forecast: the match is more than a week away. Closer to it the model takes in fresh form, injuries and line-ups, and the numbers may move.

In short

Frankfurt Lowen are favourites: 55% to win including overtime and shootout.

The model expects few goals: 5.0 in total, against a competition average of 6.0.

Over 5.5 goals in regulation — 42%.

Why

  • Frankfurt Lowen are more dangerous in attack: 2.6 expected goals against 2.3.

Facts

  • League table: Frankfurt Lowen — No. 10, 17 pts; Schwenninger — No. 13, 16 pts. A gap of 1 pt.
  • Last 5 meetings: Frankfurt Lowen 1 win, Schwenninger 4.

Probabilities

Expected goals: Frankfurt Lowen — Schwenninger2.6–2.4
Frankfurt Lowen to win (incl. OT and shootout)55%
Schwenninger to win (incl. OT and shootout)45%
Total over 5.5 (regulation)42%
Total under 5.5 (regulation)58%

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All totals and handicaps, team totals, the score grid, every factor and how the estimate moved before kick-off.

  • All totals
  • Totals incl. OT
  • Handicap Frankfurt Lowen
  • Frankfurt Lowen goals
  • Overtime chance
  • Full score grid
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Form

Frankfurt Lowen

  • 01.11ERC Ingolstadt5:2
  • 29.10away · Augsburger Panther2:3 OT
  • 25.10Grizzly Wolfsburg1:2 SO
  • 23.10away · Adler Mannheim0:3
  • 18.10Iserlohn Roosters4:1

Schwenninger

  • 01.11Krefeld Pinguine4:3 OT
  • 30.10away · Iserlohn Roosters2:4
  • 28.10away · Krefeld Pinguine0:6
  • 25.10Eisbaren Berlin1:4
  • 23.10Bremerhaven4:2

Head to head

  • 18.09.2026Schwenninger — Frankfurt Lowen0:5
  • 27.02.2026Schwenninger — Frankfurt Lowen4:1
  • 04.01.2026Frankfurt Lowen — Schwenninger1:2
  • 29.10.2025Schwenninger — Frankfurt Lowen6:1
  • 21.09.2025Frankfurt Lowen — Schwenninger3:6

Full record: 13 meetings →

Table

Table «Overall», season 2026/27
#TeamPWOTWOTLLGoals+/−Pts
9, Play-in round for the quarter-finalsBremerhaven14601732–37-519
10, Play-in round for the quarter-finalsFrankfurt Lowen14413632–33-117
11Krefeld Pinguine15502838–45-717
12Grizzly Wolfsburg15332736–51-1517
13Schwenninger16331937–60-2316
14, RelegationIserlohn Roosters14312832–52-2013

Season 2026/27 · 3 points for a regulation win, 2 for an overtime or shootout win, 1 for an overtime or shootout loss

Full table

DEL on the same day

This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 43% will not happen in roughly 57 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →