KHL · Sunday, 22 November, (UTC+3)
Avangard Omsk — Bars Kazan
☆ Save matchModel prediction for 22 November
Preliminary forecast: the match is more than a week away. Closer to it the model takes in fresh form, injuries and line-ups, and the numbers may move.
In short
Avangard Omsk are favourites: 56% to win including overtime and shootout.
The model expects few goals: 4.4 in total, against a competition average of 5.1.
Over 5.5 goals in regulation — 33%.
Why
- Avangard Omsk are more dangerous in attack: 2.4 expected goals against 2.1.
Facts
- League table: Avangard Omsk — No. 15, 22 pts; Bars Kazan — No. 10, 24 pts. A gap of 2 pts.
- Last 5 meetings: Avangard Omsk 3 wins, Bars Kazan 2.
Probabilities
| Expected goals: Avangard Omsk — Bars Kazan | 2.4–2.0 | |
| Avangard Omsk to win (incl. OT and shootout) | 56% | |
| Bars Kazan to win (incl. OT and shootout) | 44% | |
| Total over 5.5 (regulation) | 33% | |
| Total under 5.5 (regulation) | 67% |
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All totals and handicaps, team totals, the score grid, every factor and how the estimate moved before kick-off.
- All totals
- Totals incl. OT
- Handicap Avangard Omsk
- Avangard Omsk goals
- Overtime chance
- Full score grid
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Form
- 01.11away · Sochi1:2 OT
- 30.10away · Lada2:3 OT
- 28.10away · Bars Kazan4:0
- 26.10away · Dynamo Moscow3:2 OT
- 22.10Niznekamsk2:3
- 04.11away · Novosibirsk1:3
- 02.11SKA St. Petersburg3:4
- 30.10Khabarovsk3:1
- 28.10Avangard Omsk0:4
- 25.10away · Salavat Ufa2:1
Head to head
- 28.10.2026Bars Kazan — Avangard Omsk0:4
- 17.02.2026Avangard Omsk — Bars Kazan2:5
- 06.01.2026Bars Kazan — Avangard Omsk1:2
- 21.09.2025Bars Kazan — Avangard Omsk1:6
- 08.09.2025Avangard Omsk — Bars Kazan1:2
Table
| # | Team | P | W | +/− | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9, Playoffs: top 8 in each conference | Barys Astana | 21 | 12 | +14 | 25 |
| 10, Playoffs: top 8 in each conference | Bars Kazan | 24 | 11 | -4 | 24 |
| 11, Playoffs: top 8 in each conference | Khabarovsk | 21 | 11 | +7 | 23 |
| 14, Playoffs: top 8 in each conference | Yekaterinburg | 21 | 10 | +4 | 22 |
| 15, Playoffs: top 8 in each conference | Avangard Omsk | 20 | 10 | -7 | 22 |
| 16, Playoffs: top 8 in each conference | Dinamo Minsk | 22 | 8 | -15 | 22 |
KHL on the same day
- Barys AstanaDinamo Minskpreliminary49512The model's most likely outcome: 222%Model's score: 2:35.1
- Nizhny NovgorodYekaterinburgpreliminary57431The model's most likely outcome: 123%Model's score: 3:14.5
- ShanghaiLadapreliminary67331The model's most likely outcome: 121%Model's score: 3:14.7
- Dynamo MoscowCSKA Moscowpreliminary42582The model's most likely outcome: 224%Model's score: 1:24.2
This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 44% will not happen in roughly 56 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →