KHL · Sunday, 22 November, (UTC+3)
Dynamo Moscow — CSKA Moscow
☆ Save matchModel prediction for 22 November
Preliminary forecast: the match is more than a week away. Closer to it the model takes in fresh form, injuries and line-ups, and the numbers may move.
In short
CSKA Moscow are favourites: 58% to win including overtime and shootout.
The model expects few goals: 4.2 in total, against a competition average of 5.1.
Over 5.5 goals in regulation — 28%.
Why
- CSKA Moscow are more dangerous in attack: 2.3 expected goals against 1.9.
Facts
- League table: Dynamo Moscow — No. 13, 23 pts; CSKA Moscow — No. 2, 34 pts. A gap of 11 pts.
- CSKA Moscow: 4 wins in a row.
- Last 5 meetings: Dynamo Moscow 0 wins, CSKA Moscow 5.
Probabilities
| Expected goals: Dynamo Moscow — CSKA Moscow | 1.9–2.3 | |
| Dynamo Moscow to win (incl. OT and shootout) | 42% | |
| CSKA Moscow to win (incl. OT and shootout) | 58% | |
| Total over 5.5 (regulation) | 28% | |
| Total under 5.5 (regulation) | 72% |
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All totals and handicaps, team totals, the score grid, every factor and how the estimate moved before kick-off.
- All totals
- Totals incl. OT
- Handicap Dynamo Moscow
- Dynamo Moscow goals
- Overtime chance
- Full score grid
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Form
- 01.11away · Dinamo Minsk4:0
- 28.10Khabarovsk2:1
- 26.10Avangard Omsk2:3 OT
- 23.10away · Lokomotiv Yaroslavl1:2 OT
- 20.10Novosibirsk2:3 SO
- 03.11away · Magnitogorsk7:3
- 01.11away · Tractor Chelyabinsk3:2 OT
- 28.10Tractor Chelyabinsk5:1
- 25.10away · SKA St. Petersburg3:1
- 23.10away · Yekaterinburg1:5
Head to head
- 14.10.2026CSKA Moscow — Dynamo Moscow1:0
- 09.10.2026Dynamo Moscow — CSKA Moscow2:5
- 03.10.2026CSKA Moscow — Dynamo Moscow4:3 SO
- 28.01.2026Dynamo Moscow — CSKA Moscow2:4
- 30.12.2025CSKA Moscow — Dynamo Moscow5:1
Table
| # | Team | P | W | +/− | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1, Playoffs: top 8 in each conference | Magnitogorsk | 24 | 17 | +23 | 36 |
| 2, Playoffs: top 8 in each conference | CSKA Moscow | 22 | 17 | +31 | 34 |
| 3, Playoffs: top 8 in each conference | Lokomotiv Yaroslavl | 21 | 15 | +19 | 30 |
| 12, Playoffs: top 8 in each conference | Vladivostok | 22 | 10 | -4 | 23 |
| 13, Playoffs: top 8 in each conference | Dynamo Moscow | 24 | 9 | -12 | 23 |
| 14, Playoffs: top 8 in each conference | Yekaterinburg | 21 | 10 | +4 | 22 |
KHL on the same day
- Avangard OmskBars Kazanpreliminary56441The model's most likely outcome: 123%Model's score: 2:14.4
- Barys AstanaDinamo Minskpreliminary49512The model's most likely outcome: 222%Model's score: 2:35.1
- Nizhny NovgorodYekaterinburgpreliminary57431The model's most likely outcome: 123%Model's score: 3:14.5
- ShanghaiLadapreliminary67331The model's most likely outcome: 121%Model's score: 3:14.7
This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 45% will not happen in roughly 55 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →