KHL · Sunday, 22 November, (UTC+3)
Barys Astana — Dinamo Minsk
☆ Save matchModel prediction for 22 November
Preliminary forecast: the match is more than a week away. Closer to it the model takes in fresh form, injuries and line-ups, and the numbers may move.
In short
Close to a coin flip: Barys Astana 49%, Dinamo Minsk 51% including overtime.
5.1 goals expected in total — close to the competition average (5.1).
Over 5.5 goals in regulation — 45%.
Why
- The teams are almost level on expected goals: 2.5 and 2.6.
Facts
- League table: Barys Astana — No. 9, 25 pts; Dinamo Minsk — No. 16, 22 pts. A gap of 3 pts.
- Last 5 meetings: Barys Astana 2 wins, Dinamo Minsk 3.
Probabilities
| Expected goals: Barys Astana — Dinamo Minsk | 2.5–2.6 | |
| Barys Astana to win (incl. OT and shootout) | 49% | |
| Dinamo Minsk to win (incl. OT and shootout) | 51% | |
| Total over 5.5 (regulation) | 45% | |
| Total under 5.5 (regulation) | 55% |
111 more model lines in Premium
All totals and handicaps, team totals, the score grid, every factor and how the estimate moved before kick-off.
- All totals
- Totals incl. OT
- Handicap Barys Astana
- Barys Astana goals
- Overtime chance
- Full score grid
Get Premiumfrom $5.99 a month
Form
- 30.10away · Shanghai4:2
- 28.10away · Dinamo Minsk1:0
- 26.10away · Yekaterinburg1:4
- 21.10away · Vladivostok4:5 OT
- 19.10away · Khabarovsk2:5
- 01.11Dynamo Moscow0:4
- 30.10Tractor Chelyabinsk3:2
- 28.10Barys Astana0:1
- 24.10away · Nizhny Novgorod2:1 OT
- 22.10away · Sochi2:3 OT
Head to head
- 28.10.2026Dinamo Minsk — Barys Astana0:1
- 22.09.2025Dinamo Minsk — Barys Astana1:0 OT
- 13.09.2025Barys Astana — Dinamo Minsk1:3
- 21.10.2024Dinamo Minsk — Barys Astana1:2
- 13.09.2024Barys Astana — Dinamo Minsk1:5
Table
| # | Team | P | W | +/− | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8, Playoffs: top 8 in each conference | Cherepovets | 23 | 12 | -2 | 26 |
| 9, Playoffs: top 8 in each conference | Barys Astana | 21 | 12 | +14 | 25 |
| 10, Playoffs: top 8 in each conference | Bars Kazan | 23 | 11 | -2 | 24 |
| 15, Playoffs: top 8 in each conference | Avangard Omsk | 20 | 10 | -7 | 22 |
| 16, Playoffs: top 8 in each conference | Dinamo Minsk | 22 | 8 | -15 | 22 |
| 17 | SKA St. Petersburg | 21 | 10 | -3 | 21 |
KHL on the same day
- Avangard OmskBars Kazanpreliminary56441The model's most likely outcome: 123%Model's score: 2:14.4
- Nizhny NovgorodYekaterinburgpreliminary57431The model's most likely outcome: 123%Model's score: 3:14.5
- ShanghaiLadapreliminary67331The model's most likely outcome: 121%Model's score: 3:14.7
- Dynamo MoscowCSKA Moscowpreliminary42582The model's most likely outcome: 224%Model's score: 1:24.2
This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 40% will not happen in roughly 60 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →