KHL · Sunday, 22 November, (UTC+3)
Nizhny Novgorod — Yekaterinburg
☆ Save matchModel prediction for 22 November
Preliminary forecast: the match is more than a week away. Closer to it the model takes in fresh form, injuries and line-ups, and the numbers may move.
In short
Nizhny Novgorod are favourites: 57% to win including overtime and shootout.
The model expects few goals: 4.5 in total, against a competition average of 5.1.
Over 5.5 goals in regulation — 34%.
Why
- Nizhny Novgorod are more dangerous in attack: 2.4 expected goals against 2.1.
Facts
- League table: Nizhny Novgorod — No. 5, 29 pts; Yekaterinburg — No. 14, 22 pts. A gap of 7 pts.
- Last 5 meetings: Nizhny Novgorod 3 wins, Yekaterinburg 2.
Probabilities
| Expected goals: Nizhny Novgorod — Yekaterinburg | 2.4–2.1 | |
| Nizhny Novgorod to win (incl. OT and shootout) | 57% | |
| Yekaterinburg to win (incl. OT and shootout) | 43% | |
| Total over 5.5 (regulation) | 34% | |
| Total under 5.5 (regulation) | 66% |
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All totals and handicaps, team totals, the score grid, every factor and how the estimate moved before kick-off.
- All totals
- Totals incl. OT
- Handicap Nizhny Novgorod
- Nizhny Novgorod goals
- Overtime chance
- Full score grid
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Form
- 01.11Spartak Moscow3:1
- 29.10away · Yekaterinburg2:3 SO
- 27.10away · SKA St. Petersburg4:3
- 24.10Dinamo Minsk1:2 OT
- 21.10away · Bars Kazan2:1 SO
- 31.10Magnitogorsk3:4
- 29.10Nizhny Novgorod3:2 SO
- 26.10Barys Astana4:1
- 23.10CSKA Moscow5:1
- 20.10away · SKA St. Petersburg3:1
Head to head
- 29.10.2026Yekaterinburg — Nizhny Novgorod3:2 SO
- 02.11.2025Yekaterinburg — Nizhny Novgorod0:2
- 26.10.2025Nizhny Novgorod — Yekaterinburg7:4
- 13.03.2025Yekaterinburg — Nizhny Novgorod2:1
- 09.09.2024Nizhny Novgorod — Yekaterinburg3:1
Table
| # | Team | P | W | +/− | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4, Playoffs: top 8 in each conference | Shanghai | 21 | 14 | +13 | 30 |
| 5, Playoffs: top 8 in each conference | Nizhny Novgorod | 21 | 13 | +15 | 29 |
| 6, Playoffs: top 8 in each conference | Niznekamsk | 23 | 13 | +10 | 29 |
| 13, Playoffs: top 8 in each conference | Dynamo Moscow | 24 | 9 | -12 | 23 |
| 14, Playoffs: top 8 in each conference | Yekaterinburg | 21 | 10 | +4 | 22 |
| 15, Playoffs: top 8 in each conference | Avangard Omsk | 20 | 10 | -7 | 22 |
KHL on the same day
- Avangard OmskBars Kazanpreliminary56441The model's most likely outcome: 123%Model's score: 2:14.4
- Barys AstanaDinamo Minskpreliminary49512The model's most likely outcome: 222%Model's score: 2:35.1
- ShanghaiLadapreliminary67331The model's most likely outcome: 121%Model's score: 3:14.7
- Dynamo MoscowCSKA Moscowpreliminary42582The model's most likely outcome: 224%Model's score: 1:24.2
This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 45% will not happen in roughly 55 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →