KHL · Sunday, 22 November, (UTC+3)
Shanghai — Lada
☆ Save matchModel prediction for 22 November
Preliminary forecast: the match is more than a week away. Closer to it the model takes in fresh form, injuries and line-ups, and the numbers may move.
In short
Shanghai are clear favourites: 67% to win including overtime and shootout.
The model expects few goals: 4.7 in total, against a competition average of 5.1.
Over 5.5 goals in regulation — 38%.
Why
- Shanghai are more dangerous in attack: 2.8 expected goals against 1.9.
Facts
- League table: Shanghai — No. 4, 30 pts; Lada — No. 22, 13 pts. A gap of 17 pts.
- Last 5 meetings: Shanghai 4 wins, Lada 1.
Probabilities
| Expected goals: Shanghai — Lada | 2.8–1.9 | |
| Shanghai to win (incl. OT and shootout) | 67% | |
| Lada to win (incl. OT and shootout) | 33% | |
| Total over 5.5 (regulation) | 38% | |
| Total under 5.5 (regulation) | 62% |
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All totals and handicaps, team totals, the score grid, every factor and how the estimate moved before kick-off.
- All totals
- Totals incl. OT
- Handicap Shanghai
- Shanghai goals
- Overtime chance
- Full score grid
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Form
- 03.11Cherepovets3:1
- 01.11Salavat Ufa3:2
- 30.10Barys Astana2:4
- 25.10away · Spartak Moscow4:3 SO
- 23.10away · Lada2:0
- 02.11away · Lokomotiv Yaroslavl1:0
- 30.10Avangard Omsk3:2 OT
- 27.10Vladivostok1:3
- 25.10Sochi3:4
- 23.10Shanghai0:2
Head to head
- 23.10.2026Lada — Shanghai0:2
- 05.10.2026Lada — Shanghai0:5
- 01.03.2026Lada — Shanghai1:2
- 05.01.2026Shanghai — Lada3:2
- 19.12.2025Shanghai — Lada2:4
Table
| # | Team | P | W | +/− | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3, Playoffs: top 8 in each conference | Lokomotiv Yaroslavl | 21 | 15 | +19 | 30 |
| 4, Playoffs: top 8 in each conference | Shanghai | 21 | 14 | +13 | 30 |
| 5, Playoffs: top 8 in each conference | Nizhny Novgorod | 21 | 13 | +15 | 29 |
| 21 | Sochi | 22 | 7 | -37 | 14 |
| 22 | Lada | 22 | 4 | -38 | 13 |
KHL on the same day
- Avangard OmskBars Kazanpreliminary56441The model's most likely outcome: 123%Model's score: 2:14.4
- Barys AstanaDinamo Minskpreliminary49512The model's most likely outcome: 222%Model's score: 2:35.1
- Nizhny NovgorodYekaterinburgpreliminary57431The model's most likely outcome: 123%Model's score: 3:14.5
- Dynamo MoscowCSKA Moscowpreliminary42582The model's most likely outcome: 224%Model's score: 1:24.2
This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 54% will not happen in roughly 46 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →