KHL · Friday, 20 November, (UTC+3)
Avangard Omsk — Barys Astana
☆ Save matchModel prediction for 20 November
Preliminary forecast: the match is more than a week away. Closer to it the model takes in fresh form, injuries and line-ups, and the numbers may move.
In short
Avangard Omsk are favourites: 56% to win including overtime and shootout.
5.0 goals expected in total — close to the competition average (5.1).
Over 5.5 goals in regulation — 44%.
Why
- Avangard Omsk are more dangerous in attack: 2.7 expected goals against 2.4.
Facts
- League table: Avangard Omsk — No. 15, 22 pts; Barys Astana — No. 9, 25 pts. A gap of 3 pts.
- Last 5 meetings: Avangard Omsk 2 wins, Barys Astana 3.
Probabilities
| Expected goals: Avangard Omsk — Barys Astana | 2.7–2.4 | |
| Avangard Omsk to win (incl. OT and shootout) | 56% | |
| Barys Astana to win (incl. OT and shootout) | 44% | |
| Total over 5.5 (regulation) | 44% | |
| Total under 5.5 (regulation) | 56% |
109 more model lines in Premium
All totals and handicaps, team totals, the score grid, every factor and how the estimate moved before kick-off.
- All totals
- Totals incl. OT
- Handicap Avangard Omsk
- Avangard Omsk goals
- Overtime chance
- Full score grid
Get Premiumfrom $5.99 a month
Form
- 01.11away · Sochi1:2 OT
- 30.10away · Lada2:3 OT
- 28.10away · Bars Kazan4:0
- 26.10away · Dynamo Moscow3:2 OT
- 22.10Niznekamsk2:3
- 04.11away · Tractor Chelyabinsk1:2
- 30.10away · Shanghai4:2
- 28.10away · Dinamo Minsk1:0
- 26.10away · Yekaterinburg1:4
- 21.10away · Vladivostok4:5 OT
Head to head
- 10.10.2026Barys Astana — Avangard Omsk5:1
- 30.12.2025Avangard Omsk — Barys Astana2:4
- 23.11.2025Barys Astana — Avangard Omsk2:5
- 29.10.2025Avangard Omsk — Barys Astana4:3
- 16.10.2025Barys Astana — Avangard Omsk6:2
Table
| # | Team | P | W | +/− | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8, Playoffs: top 8 in each conference | Cherepovets | 23 | 12 | -2 | 26 |
| 9, Playoffs: top 8 in each conference | Barys Astana | 22 | 12 | +13 | 25 |
| 10, Playoffs: top 8 in each conference | Bars Kazan | 24 | 11 | -4 | 24 |
| 14, Playoffs: top 8 in each conference | Yekaterinburg | 21 | 10 | +4 | 22 |
| 15, Playoffs: top 8 in each conference | Avangard Omsk | 20 | 10 | -7 | 22 |
| 16, Playoffs: top 8 in each conference | Dinamo Minsk | 22 | 8 | -15 | 22 |
KHL on the same day
- NovosibirskYekaterinburgpreliminary44562The model's most likely outcome: 223%Model's score: 1:34.5
- CherepovetsKhabarovskpreliminary55451The model's most likely outcome: 124%Model's score: 2:14.2
- Nizhny NovgorodLokomotiv Yaroslavlpreliminary47532The model's most likely outcome: 224%Model's score: 1:24.1
- ShanghaiCSKA Moscowpreliminary36642The model's most likely outcome: 222%Model's score: 1:34.5
This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 44% will not happen in roughly 56 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →