KHL · Friday, 20 November, (UTC+3)
Novosibirsk — Yekaterinburg
☆ Save matchModel prediction for 20 November
Preliminary forecast: the match is more than a week away. Closer to it the model takes in fresh form, injuries and line-ups, and the numbers may move.
In short
Yekaterinburg are favourites: 56% to win including overtime and shootout.
The model expects few goals: 4.5 in total, against a competition average of 5.1.
Over 5.5 goals in regulation — 35%.
Why
- Yekaterinburg are more dangerous in attack: 2.4 expected goals against 2.1.
Facts
- League table: Novosibirsk — No. 20, 19 pts; Yekaterinburg — No. 14, 22 pts. A gap of 3 pts.
- Last 5 meetings: Novosibirsk 0 wins, Yekaterinburg 5.
Probabilities
| Expected goals: Novosibirsk — Yekaterinburg | 2.1–2.4 | |
| Novosibirsk to win (incl. OT and shootout) | 44% | |
| Yekaterinburg to win (incl. OT and shootout) | 56% | |
| Total over 5.5 (regulation) | 35% | |
| Total under 5.5 (regulation) | 65% |
111 more model lines in Premium
All totals and handicaps, team totals, the score grid, every factor and how the estimate moved before kick-off.
- All totals
- Totals incl. OT
- Handicap Novosibirsk
- Novosibirsk goals
- Overtime chance
- Full score grid
Get Premiumfrom $5.99 a month
Form
- 01.11Niznekamsk1:3
- 29.10Magnitogorsk5:2
- 26.10away · Tractor Chelyabinsk1:2
- 24.10away · Magnitogorsk1:5
- 22.10away · SKA St. Petersburg3:6
- 31.10Magnitogorsk3:4
- 29.10Nizhny Novgorod3:2 SO
- 26.10Barys Astana4:1
- 23.10CSKA Moscow5:1
- 20.10away · SKA St. Petersburg3:1
Head to head
- 13.09.2026Novosibirsk — Yekaterinburg2:5
- 20.01.2026Yekaterinburg — Novosibirsk2:0
- 23.12.2025Novosibirsk — Yekaterinburg0:5
- 29.11.2025Novosibirsk — Yekaterinburg2:4
- 31.10.2025Yekaterinburg — Novosibirsk7:1
Table
| # | Team | P | W | +/− | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13, Playoffs: top 8 in each conference | Dynamo Moscow | 24 | 9 | -12 | 23 |
| 14, Playoffs: top 8 in each conference | Yekaterinburg | 21 | 10 | +4 | 22 |
| 15, Playoffs: top 8 in each conference | Avangard Omsk | 20 | 10 | -7 | 22 |
| 19 | Tractor Chelyabinsk | 21 | 8 | -10 | 19 |
| 20 | Novosibirsk | 23 | 8 | -17 | 19 |
| 21 | Sochi | 22 | 7 | -37 | 14 |
KHL on the same day
- Avangard OmskBarys Astanapreliminary56441The model's most likely outcome: 122%Model's score: 4:25.0
- CherepovetsKhabarovskpreliminary55451The model's most likely outcome: 124%Model's score: 2:14.2
- Nizhny NovgorodLokomotiv Yaroslavlpreliminary47532The model's most likely outcome: 224%Model's score: 1:24.1
- ShanghaiCSKA Moscowpreliminary36642The model's most likely outcome: 222%Model's score: 1:34.5
This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 43% will not happen in roughly 57 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →