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KHL · Friday, 20 November, (UTC+3)

Cherepovets — Khabarovsk

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Model prediction for 20 November

Cherepovets43%
Draw in regulation24%
Khabarovsk33%
Model estimate at (UTC+3)

Preliminary forecast: the match is more than a week away. Closer to it the model takes in fresh form, injuries and line-ups, and the numbers may move.

In short

Cherepovets are favourites: 55% to win including overtime and shootout.

The model expects few goals: 4.2 in total, against a competition average of 5.1.

Over 5.5 goals in regulation — 28%.

Why

  • Cherepovets are more dangerous in attack: 2.2 expected goals against 2.0.

Facts

  • League table: Cherepovets — No. 8, 26 pts; Khabarovsk — No. 11, 23 pts. A gap of 3 pts.
  • Last 5 meetings: Cherepovets 5 wins, Khabarovsk 0.

Probabilities

Expected goals: Cherepovets — Khabarovsk2.2–2.0
Cherepovets to win (incl. OT and shootout)55%
Khabarovsk to win (incl. OT and shootout)45%
Total over 5.5 (regulation)28%
Total under 5.5 (regulation)72%

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All totals and handicaps, team totals, the score grid, every factor and how the estimate moved before kick-off.

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  • Totals incl. OT
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Form

Cherepovets

  • 03.11away · Shanghai1:3
  • 30.10Spartak Moscow1:5
  • 29.10Spartak Moscow3:2 SO
  • 25.10away · Lokomotiv Yaroslavl0:1
  • 23.10away · Spartak Moscow1:3

Khabarovsk

  • 01.11away · Vladivostok5:2
  • 30.10away · Bars Kazan1:3
  • 28.10away · Dynamo Moscow1:2
  • 25.10Vladivostok3:0
  • 19.10Barys Astana5:2

Head to head

  • 21.09.2026Khabarovsk — Cherepovets1:4
  • 28.10.2025Cherepovets — Khabarovsk6:2
  • 19.10.2025Khabarovsk — Cherepovets2:3 SO
  • 27.10.2024Cherepovets — Khabarovsk3:0
  • 17.10.2024Khabarovsk — Cherepovets1:2

Full record: 28 meetings →

Table

Table «Overall», season 2026/27
#TeamPWOTLLGoals+/−Pts
7, Playoffs: top 8 in each conferenceSpartak Moscow22124659–42+1728
8, Playoffs: top 8 in each conferenceCherepovets23122951–53-226
9, Playoffs: top 8 in each conferenceBarys Astana22121972–59+1325
10, Playoffs: top 8 in each conferenceBars Kazan241121152–56-424
11, Playoffs: top 8 in each conferenceKhabarovsk21111942–35+723
12, Playoffs: top 8 in each conferenceVladivostok22103956–60-423

Season 2026/27 · 2 points for a win, 1 for an overtime or shootout loss

Full table

KHL on the same day

This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 43% will not happen in roughly 57 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →