Cherepovets — Khabarovsk
☆ Save matchModel prediction for 20 November
Preliminary forecast: the match is more than a week away. Closer to it the model takes in fresh form, injuries and line-ups, and the numbers may move.
In short
Cherepovets are favourites: 55% to win including overtime and shootout.
The model expects few goals: 4.2 in total, against a competition average of 5.1.
Over 5.5 goals in regulation — 28%.
Why
- Cherepovets are more dangerous in attack: 2.2 expected goals against 2.0.
Facts
- League table: Cherepovets — No. 8, 26 pts; Khabarovsk — No. 11, 23 pts. A gap of 3 pts.
- Last 5 meetings: Cherepovets 5 wins, Khabarovsk 0.
Probabilities
| Expected goals: Cherepovets — Khabarovsk | 2.2–2.0 | |
| Cherepovets to win (incl. OT and shootout) | 55% | |
| Khabarovsk to win (incl. OT and shootout) | 45% | |
| Total over 5.5 (regulation) | 28% | |
| Total under 5.5 (regulation) | 72% |
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All totals and handicaps, team totals, the score grid, every factor and how the estimate moved before kick-off.
- All totals
- Totals incl. OT
- Handicap Cherepovets
- Cherepovets goals
- Overtime chance
- Full score grid
Form
- 03.11away · Shanghai1:3
- 30.10Spartak Moscow1:5
- 29.10Spartak Moscow3:2 SO
- 25.10away · Lokomotiv Yaroslavl0:1
- 23.10away · Spartak Moscow1:3
- 01.11away · Vladivostok5:2
- 30.10away · Bars Kazan1:3
- 28.10away · Dynamo Moscow1:2
- 25.10Vladivostok3:0
- 19.10Barys Astana5:2
Head to head
- 21.09.2026Khabarovsk — Cherepovets1:4
- 28.10.2025Cherepovets — Khabarovsk6:2
- 19.10.2025Khabarovsk — Cherepovets2:3 SO
- 27.10.2024Cherepovets — Khabarovsk3:0
- 17.10.2024Khabarovsk — Cherepovets1:2
Table
| # | Team | P | W | +/− | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7, Playoffs: top 8 in each conference | Spartak Moscow | 22 | 12 | +17 | 28 |
| 8, Playoffs: top 8 in each conference | Cherepovets | 23 | 12 | -2 | 26 |
| 9, Playoffs: top 8 in each conference | Barys Astana | 22 | 12 | +13 | 25 |
| 10, Playoffs: top 8 in each conference | Bars Kazan | 24 | 11 | -4 | 24 |
| 11, Playoffs: top 8 in each conference | Khabarovsk | 21 | 11 | +7 | 23 |
| 12, Playoffs: top 8 in each conference | Vladivostok | 22 | 10 | -4 | 23 |
KHL on the same day
- NovosibirskYekaterinburgpreliminary44562The model's most likely outcome: 223%Model's score: 1:34.5
- Avangard OmskBarys Astanapreliminary56441The model's most likely outcome: 122%Model's score: 4:25.0
- Nizhny NovgorodLokomotiv Yaroslavlpreliminary47532The model's most likely outcome: 224%Model's score: 1:24.1
- ShanghaiCSKA Moscowpreliminary36642The model's most likely outcome: 222%Model's score: 1:34.5
This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 43% will not happen in roughly 57 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →