KHL · Friday, 20 November, (UTC+3)
Nizhny Novgorod — Lokomotiv Yaroslavl
☆ Save matchModel prediction for 20 November
Preliminary forecast: the match is more than a week away. Closer to it the model takes in fresh form, injuries and line-ups, and the numbers may move.
In short
Close to a coin flip: Nizhny Novgorod 47%, Lokomotiv Yaroslavl 53% including overtime.
The model expects few goals: 4.1 in total, against a competition average of 5.1.
Over 5.5 goals in regulation — 27%.
Why
- The teams are almost level on expected goals: 2.0 and 2.1.
Facts
- League table: Nizhny Novgorod — No. 5, 29 pts; Lokomotiv Yaroslavl — No. 3, 30 pts. A gap of 1 pt.
- Last 5 meetings: Nizhny Novgorod 3 wins, Lokomotiv Yaroslavl 2.
Probabilities
| Expected goals: Nizhny Novgorod — Lokomotiv Yaroslavl | 2.0–2.1 | |
| Nizhny Novgorod to win (incl. OT and shootout) | 47% | |
| Lokomotiv Yaroslavl to win (incl. OT and shootout) | 53% | |
| Total over 5.5 (regulation) | 27% | |
| Total under 5.5 (regulation) | 73% |
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All totals and handicaps, team totals, the score grid, every factor and how the estimate moved before kick-off.
- All totals
- Totals incl. OT
- Handicap Nizhny Novgorod
- Nizhny Novgorod goals
- Overtime chance
- Full score grid
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Form
- 01.11Spartak Moscow3:1
- 29.10away · Yekaterinburg2:3 SO
- 27.10away · SKA St. Petersburg4:3
- 24.10Dinamo Minsk1:2 OT
- 21.10away · Bars Kazan2:1 SO
- 02.11Lada0:1
- 29.10Sochi6:2
- 25.10Cherepovets1:0
- 23.10Dynamo Moscow2:1 OT
- 20.10Niznekamsk0:1
Head to head
- 19.01.2026Lokomotiv Yaroslavl — Nizhny Novgorod1:3
- 14.01.2026Nizhny Novgorod — Lokomotiv Yaroslavl3:0
- 30.12.2025Lokomotiv Yaroslavl — Nizhny Novgorod1:0
- 10.11.2025Nizhny Novgorod — Lokomotiv Yaroslavl2:1
- 02.04.2025Nizhny Novgorod — Lokomotiv Yaroslavl1:2
Table
| # | Team | P | W | +/− | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2, Playoffs: top 8 in each conference | CSKA Moscow | 22 | 17 | +31 | 34 |
| 3, Playoffs: top 8 in each conference | Lokomotiv Yaroslavl | 21 | 15 | +19 | 30 |
| 4, Playoffs: top 8 in each conference | Shanghai | 21 | 14 | +13 | 30 |
| 5, Playoffs: top 8 in each conference | Nizhny Novgorod | 21 | 13 | +15 | 29 |
| 6, Playoffs: top 8 in each conference | Niznekamsk | 23 | 13 | +10 | 29 |
KHL on the same day
- NovosibirskYekaterinburgpreliminary44562The model's most likely outcome: 223%Model's score: 1:34.5
- Avangard OmskBarys Astanapreliminary56441The model's most likely outcome: 122%Model's score: 4:25.0
- CherepovetsKhabarovskpreliminary55451The model's most likely outcome: 124%Model's score: 2:14.2
- ShanghaiCSKA Moscowpreliminary36642The model's most likely outcome: 222%Model's score: 1:34.5
This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 40% will not happen in roughly 60 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →