KHL · Friday, 20 November, (UTC+3)
Shanghai — CSKA Moscow
☆ Save matchModel prediction for 20 November
Preliminary forecast: the match is more than a week away. Closer to it the model takes in fresh form, injuries and line-ups, and the numbers may move.
In short
CSKA Moscow are clear favourites: 64% to win including overtime and shootout.
The model expects few goals: 4.6 in total, against a competition average of 5.1.
Over 5.5 goals in regulation — 35%.
Why
- CSKA Moscow are more dangerous in attack: 2.6 expected goals against 1.9.
Facts
- League table: Shanghai — No. 4, 30 pts; CSKA Moscow — No. 2, 34 pts. A gap of 4 pts.
- CSKA Moscow: 4 wins in a row.
- Last 5 meetings: Shanghai 0 wins, CSKA Moscow 5.
Probabilities
| Expected goals: Shanghai — CSKA Moscow | 1.9–2.6 | |
| Shanghai to win (incl. OT and shootout) | 36% | |
| CSKA Moscow to win (incl. OT and shootout) | 64% | |
| Total over 5.5 (regulation) | 35% | |
| Total under 5.5 (regulation) | 65% |
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- Totals incl. OT
- Handicap Shanghai
- Shanghai goals
- Overtime chance
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Form
- 03.11Cherepovets3:1
- 01.11Salavat Ufa3:2
- 30.10Barys Astana2:4
- 25.10away · Spartak Moscow4:3 SO
- 23.10away · Lada2:0
- 03.11away · Magnitogorsk7:3
- 01.11away · Tractor Chelyabinsk3:2 OT
- 28.10Tractor Chelyabinsk5:1
- 25.10away · SKA St. Petersburg3:1
- 23.10away · Yekaterinburg1:5
Head to head
- 27.02.2026CSKA Moscow — Shanghai6:5 OT
- 15.02.2026Shanghai — CSKA Moscow1:2 OT
- 05.02.2026Shanghai — CSKA Moscow0:1
- 09.01.2026CSKA Moscow — Shanghai3:2
- 27.02.2025CSKA Moscow — Shanghai6:0
Table
| # | Team | P | W | +/− | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1, Playoffs: top 8 in each conference | Magnitogorsk | 24 | 17 | +23 | 36 |
| 2, Playoffs: top 8 in each conference | CSKA Moscow | 22 | 17 | +31 | 34 |
| 3, Playoffs: top 8 in each conference | Lokomotiv Yaroslavl | 21 | 15 | +19 | 30 |
| 4, Playoffs: top 8 in each conference | Shanghai | 21 | 14 | +13 | 30 |
| 5, Playoffs: top 8 in each conference | Nizhny Novgorod | 21 | 13 | +15 | 29 |
KHL on the same day
- NovosibirskYekaterinburgpreliminary44562The model's most likely outcome: 223%Model's score: 1:34.5
- Avangard OmskBarys Astanapreliminary56441The model's most likely outcome: 122%Model's score: 4:25.0
- CherepovetsKhabarovskpreliminary55451The model's most likely outcome: 124%Model's score: 2:14.2
- Nizhny NovgorodLokomotiv Yaroslavlpreliminary47532The model's most likely outcome: 224%Model's score: 1:24.1
This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 50% will not happen in roughly 50 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →