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KHL · Thursday, 5 November, (UTC+3)

Avangard Omsk — CSKA Moscow

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Model prediction for 5 November

Avangard Omsk40%
Draw in regulation24%
CSKA Moscow36%
Model estimate at (UTC+3)

Preliminary forecast: the match is more than a week away. Closer to it the model takes in fresh form, injuries and line-ups, and the numbers may move.

In short

Close to a coin flip: Avangard Omsk 51%, CSKA Moscow 49% including overtime.

The model expects few goals: 4.2 in total, against a competition average of 5.2.

Over 5.5 goals in regulation — 29%.

Why

  • The teams are almost level on expected goals: 2.2 and 2.1.

Facts

  • League table: Avangard Omsk — No. 20, 12 pts; CSKA Moscow — No. 2, 24 pts. A gap of 12 pts.
  • CSKA Moscow: 5 wins in a row.
  • Last 5 meetings: Avangard Omsk 4 wins, CSKA Moscow 1.

Probabilities

Expected goals: Avangard Omsk — CSKA Moscow2.2–2.1
Avangard Omsk to win (incl. OT and shootout)51%
CSKA Moscow to win (incl. OT and shootout)49%
Total over 5.5 (regulation)29%
Total under 5.5 (regulation)71%

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All totals and handicaps, team totals, the score grid, every factor and how the estimate moved before kick-off.

  • All totals
  • Totals incl. OT
  • Handicap Avangard Omsk
  • Avangard Omsk goals
  • Overtime chance
  • Full score grid
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Form

Avangard Omsk

  • 10.10away · Barys Astana1:5
  • 08.10away · Niznekamsk1:0
  • 06.10away · Yekaterinburg0:4
  • 02.10Lada4:1
  • 28.09Magnitogorsk1:5

CSKA Moscow

  • 14.10Dynamo Moscow1:0
  • 09.10away · Dynamo Moscow5:2
  • 05.10Salavat Ufa3:1
  • 03.10Dynamo Moscow4:3 SO
  • 01.10away · Dinamo Minsk4:1

Head to head

  • 16.04.2026Avangard Omsk — CSKA Moscow2:1
  • 14.04.2026CSKA Moscow — Avangard Omsk3:1
  • 12.04.2026CSKA Moscow — Avangard Omsk2:3 OT
  • 10.04.2026Avangard Omsk — CSKA Moscow3:2
  • 08.04.2026Avangard Omsk — CSKA Moscow3:0

Full record: 43 meetings →

Table

Table «Overall», season 2026/27
#TeamPWOTLLGoals+/−Pts
1, Playoffs: top 8 in each conferenceMagnitogorsk17131354–31+2327
2, Playoffs: top 8 in each conferenceCSKA Moscow15120350–27+2324
3, Playoffs: top 8 in each conferenceLokomotiv Yaroslavl15110440–28+1222
19Tractor Chelyabinsk1460830–35-512
20Avangard Omsk1360722–34-1212
21Lada16241025–59-348

Season 2026/27 · 2 points for a win, 1 for an overtime or shootout loss

Full table

KHL on the same day

  • MagnitogorskNiznekamskpreliminary
    1The model's most likely outcome: 119%Model's score: 3:15.3
  • ShanghaiDynamo Moscowpreliminary
    2The model's most likely outcome: 222%Model's score: 1:34.9
  • SochiCherepovetspreliminary
    2The model's most likely outcome: 220%Model's score: 1:35.0

This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 40% will not happen in roughly 60 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →