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KHL · Wednesday, 18 November, (UTC+3)

Avangard Omsk — Vladivostok

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Model prediction for 18 November

Avangard Omsk52%
Draw in regulation22%
Vladivostok26%
Model estimate at (UTC+3)

Preliminary forecast: the match is more than a week away. Closer to it the model takes in fresh form, injuries and line-ups, and the numbers may move.

In short

Avangard Omsk are clear favourites: 64% to win including overtime and shootout.

The model expects few goals: 4.7 in total, against a competition average of 5.1.

Over 5.5 goals in regulation — 38%.

Why

  • Avangard Omsk are more dangerous in attack: 2.7 expected goals against 2.0.

Facts

  • League table: Avangard Omsk — No. 15, 22 pts; Vladivostok — No. 12, 23 pts. A gap of 1 pt.
  • Last 5 meetings: Avangard Omsk 4 wins, Vladivostok 1.

Probabilities

Expected goals: Avangard Omsk — Vladivostok2.7–2.0
Avangard Omsk to win (incl. OT and shootout)64%
Vladivostok to win (incl. OT and shootout)36%
Total over 5.5 (regulation)38%
Total under 5.5 (regulation)62%

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All totals and handicaps, team totals, the score grid, every factor and how the estimate moved before kick-off.

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  • Totals incl. OT
  • Handicap Avangard Omsk
  • Avangard Omsk goals
  • Overtime chance
  • Full score grid
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Form

Avangard Omsk

  • 01.11away · Sochi1:2 OT
  • 30.10away · Lada2:3 OT
  • 28.10away · Bars Kazan4:0
  • 26.10away · Dynamo Moscow3:2 OT
  • 22.10Niznekamsk2:3

Vladivostok

  • 04.11SKA St. Petersburg4:0
  • 01.11Khabarovsk2:5
  • 29.10away · Niznekamsk4:3
  • 27.10away · Lada3:1
  • 25.10away · Khabarovsk0:3

Head to head

  • 11.02.2026Vladivostok — Avangard Omsk2:3 SO
  • 26.01.2026Avangard Omsk — Vladivostok5:2
  • 07.11.2025Vladivostok — Avangard Omsk2:1 OT
  • 01.10.2025Avangard Omsk — Vladivostok6:1
  • 11.02.2025Vladivostok — Avangard Omsk2:5

Full record: 44 meetings →

Table

Table «Overall», season 2026/27
#TeamPWOTLLGoals+/−Pts
11, Playoffs: top 8 in each conferenceKhabarovsk21111942–35+723
12, Playoffs: top 8 in each conferenceVladivostok22103956–60-423
13, Playoffs: top 8 in each conferenceDynamo Moscow24951050–62-1223
14, Playoffs: top 8 in each conferenceYekaterinburg21102957–53+422
15, Playoffs: top 8 in each conferenceAvangard Omsk20102840–47-722
16, Playoffs: top 8 in each conferenceDinamo Minsk2286851–66-1522

Season 2026/27 · 2 points for a win, 1 for an overtime or shootout loss

Full table

KHL on the same day

This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 52% will not happen in roughly 48 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →